ACEL Price Update: Down 1.4% YTD – What’s Next for Investors?

Here’s the breakdown of the month forecast for ACEL ($9.05 to $16.45 overall range). The table shows projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price, and the resulting model signal per period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-07 to 2026-07), ACEL’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $9.05 and $16.45.

Forecast uncertainty appears steady, with the price range ($12.26 – $12.26 to $9.45 – $16.45) showing little change over the horizon.

ACEL demonstrates, with its Trailing P/E at 26.21x and Forward P/E at 14.94x, suggests an attractive valuation opportunity. This suggests potential earnings growth expectations Meanwhile, its Price/Sales ratio of 0.87x and Price/Book of 4.21x show that the company trades at multiples that warrant attention. These metrics provide insight into market positioning.

From an enterprise value perspective, The enterprise value to revenue ratio of 1.13x indicates reasonable revenue-based valuation, and its the EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.40x suggests reasonable earnings-based valuation. These valuation metrics provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current market positioning.

Although the market considers Accel Entertainment, Inc. to be a key player in the Gambling industry with a 1.09 B market cap, its enterprise value is much higher at 1.40 B, with 310.00M of that value added by debt. Investors are confident about Accel Entertainment, Inc.’s future earnings, but keep in mind the risk of that large amount of debt.

The valuation ratios tell an interesting story: at 1.13x revenue and 8.40x EBITDA, Accel Entertainment, Inc. trades at a valuation that reflects its market position. This reflects the company’s strong market position and brand assets. But it also means the stock may have little room for error. The upcoming 2025-08-05 earnings report will be crucial in showing whether Accel Entertainment, Inc.’s businesses can grow into this valuation. Essentially, you’re paying for quality – but quality doesn’t come cheap.

An analysis of the key metrics in ACEL’s margin performance shows the company has solid control over its costs and prices. The company is successful in controlling its production costs, as shown by the gross margin of 30.35%, and it also profits well from its core operations, reflected in the 7.96% operating margin. A 13.44% EBITDA margin indicates ACEL is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. All things considered, ACEL can hold onto around $3.390 in net profit for every $1 of its revenue over the last twelve months. While the business’s revenue is increasing at an aggressive rate (7.30%), investors should monitor if this pace can be sustained without eroding profit margins.

ACEL’s 168.44 M in EBITDA and 380.37 M in gross profit indicate its raw earning power, while the 42.48 M in net income reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. The company appears to be balancing its pursuit of growth with the need to maintain profitability. Despite healthy gross margins, there is a significant difference between the company’s gross and net margins (30.35% vs. 3.39%). This is likely due to high operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes, which are key areas for investors to watch. In the future, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical. ACEL needs to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, as this will help sustain profitability, especially if revenue growth moderates.

Here’s the consensus from Wall Street analysts on ACEL. The average recommendation is ‘Strong Buy’. 3 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. Targets average $16.00 (within a range of $16.00 – $16.00). The average target ($16.00) suggests roughly 25.6% potential upside compared to the current price ($12.74). This reflects overall analyst sentiment on the stock’s outlook.

ACELs financial data clearly shows that strengths and weaknesses can appear together. The ROE and ROA of 18.26% and 6.46%, respectively, reflect a highly efficient use of capital, often seen in fast-growing firms. The 2.24x Debt/Equity ratio (with 588.59 M in debt and 276.96 M in cash) points to the fact that ACEL has taken on a considerable amount of debt to fuel its operations and growth. Even with its debt, the company’s ability to bring in 137.20 M in operating cash flow (TTM) proves that its core business can steadily produce cash, which is a significant strength.

The Current Ratio of 2.42x and Quick Ratio of 2.21x show a solid liquidity position, able to cover its short-term liabilities. Furthermore, ACEL’s 68.64 M in levered free cash flow suggests it can still generate significant cash for shareholders even after meeting its financial obligations.

In the recent trading period from July 11, 2025 to July 25, 2025, ACEL’s stock price achieved a total return of +4.77%. The price fluctuated between a high of $12.92 and a low of $12.02. Average daily trading volume was approximately 290,733 shares.

There is currently 1 M worth of short interest in ACEL, and the short ratio (or days to cover) is 5.4x. This means that at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take several days for all short positions to be covered. This moderate level indicates a balance between bearish bets and the market’s ability to absorb them without extreme volatility.

With 2.46% of the public float sold short, a moderate percentage of the stock is being shorted, showing some bearish sentiment but not an extreme level. This level has remained relatively stable compared to last month’s value of 1 M, suggesting a shift in bearish sentiment. Because the amount of investors shorting is generally low, the market tends to feel more confident and the risks of price swings from sudden short-covering activities are reduced.

When looking at the price range over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $13.28 and a low of $9.02. This moderate gap indicates the stock has experienced notable price swings over the year. Currently, the 50-day moving average at $11.87 is above the 200-day moving average of $11.18. This ‘golden cross’ setup is often viewed as a bullish signal, indicating positive long-term momentum.

The stock carries a beta of 1.24x, which means it tends to move more sharply than the broader market—about 24% more volatile. Combined with a moderate 30-day annualized volatility of 20.1%, it’s clear this stock sees frequent price swings. For investors, this means potential for gains, but also higher downside risk. These indicators matter when deciding position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that balances stability with growth exposure.

Investing in ACEL involves various risks. This section outlines potential factors identified through data analysis and general market considerations. It is not exhaustive.