Investing in ACA: Leading Industrials Stock for 2025

Investing in ACA: Leading Industrials Stock for 2025

Metrics Summary

💰 Current Price

$91.14
Live Market Price

🎯 Price Targets & Forecasts

1-Month Forecast:

$93.31

📈 +2.4%

1-Year Forecast:

$90.46

📉 -0.7%

Analyst Mean Target:

$111.83

📈 +22.7%

📈 Trend & Momentum

Trend:

🚀 ▲ Bullish (Price > SMA 50/200)
RSI (14-day):

56.6 (Neutral) ⚖️
MACD:

➡️ Neutral Trend (0.04)

📊 Key Technical Levels

Above SMA 50:

✅ $88.48
Above SMA 200:

✅ $87.61
52-Week Range:

📏 $68.11 – $113.43

⚡ Volatility

Volatility (30d Ann.):

19.7% 🏞️
Beta (vs. Market):

0.99xx ⚖️
(Moderate)
Green Days (30d):

19/30 (63%) 🟢

🏢 Ownership

Institutional Ownership:

96.61% 🏛️
Short % of Float:

3.64% 😐
(Moderate Bets)

Right now, ACA’s stock is trading at $91.14. The technical indicators are showing a bullish pattern because the price is holding relative to both the 50-day ($88.48) and 200-day ($87.61) moving averages. This suggests the stock has been gaining momentum recently. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 56.6 is Neutral—neither overbought nor oversold—while the MACD indicator shows a neutral trend, meaning there could be some minor pullbacks before the next upward move.

Over the past year, ACA’s stock has traded between $68.11 and $113.43, which tells us two things: First, investor sentiment has been mixed. Second, the current price is trading mid-range, meaning big swings are less likely unless something major happens. Analysts expect modest growth ahead, with a 1-year target of $90.46 (-0.7%) and an average consensus target of $111.83 (+22.7%). Plus, with 96.61% institutional ownership and very low short interest (3.64%), it seems most big investors are betting on the company’s long-term success rather than a decline.

Detailed Forecast Table

Here’s the breakdown of the month forecast for ACA ($63.58 to $127.92 overall range). The table shows projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price, and the resulting model signal per period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-07 to 2026-07), ACA’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $63.58 and $127.92.

Forecast uncertainty appears steady, with the price range ($89.72 – $89.72 to $66.20 – $127.92) showing little change over the horizon.

Month (Period)Min. PriceAvg. PriceMax. PricePotential ROI vs Current ($91.14)Model Signal
2025-07$89.72$89.72$89.72 -1.6%Hold/Neutral
2025-08$85.85$92.38$99.99 1.4%Hold/Neutral
2025-09$86.68$93.31$100.10 2.4%Hold/Neutral
2025-10$86.54$94.31$102.17 3.5%Consider Buy
2025-11$89.12$97.13$109.49 6.6%Consider Buy
2025-12$89.73$100.96$117.61 10.8%Consider Buy
2026-01$85.94$99.99$120.72 9.7%Consider Buy
2026-02$80.87$96.66$116.10 6.1%Consider Buy
2026-03$72.90$92.27$115.27 1.2%Hold/Neutral
2026-04$67.41$87.99$115.30 -3.5%Consider Short
2026-05$63.58$87.80$122.79 -3.7%Consider Short
2026-06$63.61$90.81$127.12 -0.4%Hold/Neutral
2026-07$66.20$90.46$127.92 -0.7%Hold/Neutral

Remember that these forecasts are generated by models, carry inherent uncertainty, and can change with new data or market shifts. Future prices are not guaranteed.

Company Profile

Sector: Industrials
Industry: Engineering & Construction
Market Cap: 4.23 B
Employees: 6,250

Company Description

A brief overview of the company’s business activities. Arcosa, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides infrastructure-related products and solutions for the construction, engineered structures, and transportation markets in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Construction Products, Engineered Structures, and Transportation Products. The Construction Products segment offers natural and recycled aggregates; specialty materials; and construction site support equipment, including trench shields and shoring products for residential and non-residential construction, and specialty/other products, as well as for infrastructure construction. The Engineered Structures segment offers utility structures, wind towers, traffic and lighting structures, and telecommunication structures for electricity transmission and distribution, wind power generation, highway road construction, and wireless communication markets. This segment sells its products to contractors and distributors serving state Departments of Transportation and state and municipality agencies. The Transportation Products segment offers inland barges, fiberglass barge covers, winches, marine hardware, and other transportation and industrial equipment to the commercial marine transportation companies, lessors, and industrial shippers. Arcosa, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Valuation Metrics

ACA demonstrates, with its Trailing P/E at 54.50x and Forward P/E at 19.60x, indicates a reasonably valued position. This suggests potential earnings growth expectations Meanwhile, its Price/Sales ratio of 1.62x and Price/Book of 1.72x show that the company trades at multiples that warrant attention. These metrics provide insight into market positioning.

From an enterprise value perspective, The enterprise value to revenue ratio of 2.24x indicates reasonable revenue-based valuation, and its the EV/EBITDA multiple of 13.28x suggests a potentially stretched valuation. These valuation metrics provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current market positioning.

Trailing P/E54.50x
Forward P/E19.60x
Price/Sales (TTM)$1.62
Price/Book (MRQ)$1.72
EV/Revenue (TTM)2.24x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)13.28x

Total Valuation

Although the market considers Arcosa, Inc. to be a key player in the Engineering & Construction industry with a 4.23 B market cap, its enterprise value is much higher at 5.81 B, with 1.58B of that value added by debt. Investors are confident about Arcosa, Inc.’s future earnings, but keep in mind the risk of that large amount of debt.

The valuation ratios tell an interesting story: at 2.24x revenue and 13.28x EBITDA, Arcosa, Inc. trades at a valuation that reflects its market position. This reflects the company’s strong market position and brand assets. But it also means the stock may have little room for error. The upcoming 2025-08-07 earnings report will be crucial in showing whether Arcosa, Inc.’s businesses can grow into this valuation, while the 2025-07-15 ex-dividend date serves as a reminder that Arcosa, Inc. still rewards shareholders even as it invests for growth. Essentially, you’re paying for quality – but quality doesn’t come cheap.

Market Cap4.23 B
Enterprise Value5.81 B
EV/Revenue (TTM)2.24x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)13.28x
Next Earnings Date2025-08-07
Ex-Dividend Date2025-07-15

Profitability Growth

An analysis of the key metrics in ACA’s margin performance shows the company has solid control over its costs and prices. The company is successful in controlling its production costs, as shown by the gross margin of 20.32%, and it also profits well from its core operations, reflected in the 8.31% operating margin. A 16.90% EBITDA margin indicates ACA is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. All things considered, ACA can hold onto around $3.000 in net profit for every $1 of its revenue over the last twelve months. While the business’s revenue is increasing at an aggressive rate (5.60%), investors should monitor if this pace can be sustained without eroding profit margins.

ACA’s 439.90 M in EBITDA and 529.00 M in gross profit indicate its raw earning power, while the 77.80 M in net income reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. The company appears to be balancing its pursuit of growth with the need to maintain profitability. Despite healthy gross margins, there is a significant difference between the company’s gross and net margins (20.32% vs. 3.00%). This is likely due to high operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes, which are key areas for investors to watch. In the future, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical. ACA needs to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, as this will help sustain profitability, especially if revenue growth moderates.

Profit Margin (TTM)3.00%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.31%
Gross Margin (TTM)20.32%
EBITDA Margin (TTM)16.90%
Revenue (TTM)2.60 B
Revenue Growth (YoY)5.60%
Gross Profit (TTM)529.00 M
EBITDA (TTM)439.90 M
Net Income (TTM)77.80 M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-40.00%

Analyst Insights

This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering ACA. The consensus recommendation is ‘Strong Buy’. 6 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. The mean price target is $111.83, with individual targets ranging from $100.00 – $125.00. The average target ($111.83) suggests roughly 22.7% potential upside compared to the current price ($91.14). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.

Recommendation: Strong Buy
Mean Target Price: $111.83
High Target Price: $125.00
Low Target Price: $100.00
Number of Analyst Opinions: 6

Financial Health

ACA’s financial health appears robust, showcasing several key strengths. The ROE and ROA of 3.23% and 3.40%, respectively, reflect a highly efficient use of capital, often seen in fast-growing firms. The 0.71x Debt/Equity ratio (with 1.75 B in debt and 167.90 M in cash) points to the fact that ACA has taken on a manageable debt load to fuel its operations and growth. Even with its debt, the company’s ability to bring in 420.80 M in operating cash flow (TTM) proves that its core business can steadily produce cash, which is a significant strength.

The Current Ratio of 1.98x and Quick Ratio of 1.17x show a solid liquidity position, able to cover its short-term liabilities. Furthermore, ACA’s 195.00 M in levered free cash flow suggests it can still generate significant cash for shareholders even after meeting its financial obligations. For investors, this financial profile suggests a resilient and well-managed company. The low debt and strong liquidity provide a solid safety net and the flexibility to invest in growth, weather economic downturns, or increase returns to shareholders.

Return on Equity (ROE TTM)3.23%
Return on Assets (ROA TTM)3.40%
Debt/Equity (MRQ)0.71x
Total Cash (MRQ)167.90 M
Total Debt (MRQ)1.75 B
Current Ratio (MRQ)1.98x
Quick Ratio (MRQ)1.17x
Operating Cash Flow (TTM)420.80 M
Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM)195.00 M

Historical Performance

In the recent trading period from July 11, 2025 to July 25, 2025, ACA’s stock price achieved a total return of +1.63%. The price fluctuated between a high of $91.28 and a low of $85.78. Average daily trading volume was approximately 318,820 shares.

Recent Trading Data

DateOpenHighLowCloseVolume
2025-07-25$90.15$91.15$90.04$91.14232,300
2025-07-24$90.37$91.07$89.66$89.87202,100
2025-07-23$89.53$91.00$89.40$90.96218,800
2025-07-22$88.81$89.82$87.41$88.92291,900
2025-07-21$90.67$90.84$88.45$88.48259,000
2025-07-20$90.15$90.44$89.38$90.00548,500
2025-07-19$90.15$90.44$89.38$90.00548,500
2025-07-18$90.15$90.44$89.38$90.00548,500
2025-07-17$88.20$90.29$88.20$90.08286,000
2025-07-16$87.61$87.88$85.78$87.67246,300
2025-07-15$89.85$90.12$87.52$87.61339,700
2025-07-14$89.39$89.91$88.94$89.29266,600
2025-07-13$90.61$91.28$89.61$89.68264,700
2025-07-12$90.61$91.28$89.61$89.68264,700
2025-07-11$90.61$91.28$89.61$89.68264,700

Technical Analysis Summary

CURRENT PRICE: $91.14 | TREND: BULLISH

The stock has faced downward pressure, losing -0.71% in the last 15 days. We need to analyze the technicals to see if this is a buying opportunity or a warning of further declines. Let’s break down the key levels.

Trend Strength – Still Bullish

ACA is trading above its key moving averages, which confirms the uptrend remains intact. The 20-day SMA at $89.78 is acting as immediate dynamic support.

What This Means for Traders?

As long as ACA holds above the 20-day SMA ($89.78), the bullish momentum could continue. However, a rapid rise can push the stock far from its averages, increasing the risk of a pullback.

Momentum Check – Is Momentum Fading?

The RSI at 56.6 is in a neutral zone, indicating balanced momentum. At the same time, the MACD histogram is positive, confirming the upward momentum is still in play.

Trading Strategy:

This neutral RSI reading provides flexibility. Watch for a decisive MACD crossover or a break of a key support/resistance level for the next directional clue.

Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels

The stock is currently pressing against the upper Bollinger Band at $91.96, which often acts as short-term resistance.

Key Levels to Watch:

  • Resistance: $92.60 (Recent High) → A breakout could push ACA higher.
  • Support: $89.78 (20-day SMA) → If this breaks, expect a test of $87.60.

Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction

Trading volume is near its recent average, providing neutral confirmation of the current price action.

What’s the Concern?

Low volume rallies are prone to sharp reversals. If we don’t see a surge in buying interest to confirm the move, a pullback becomes more likely.

Support & Resistance – The Trading Plan

Trading Plan:

  • ✅  If ACA holds above $89.78 → Bullish trend continues, next target $92.60.
  • ⚠️  If it breaks below $89.78 → Expect a dip toward $87.60.
  • 🛑  A drop below $87.60 → Could trigger a deeper correction to the 200-day SMA ($87.61).

Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?

Short-Term Traders: The trend is positive but monitor for signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance may be best until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or volume.
Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend is valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA ($87.61). A pullback to the 50-day SMA ($88.48) area could present a safer buying opportunity.
New Buyers: Avoid chasing the rally here. Wait for either a confirmed breakout above $92.60 with strong volume, or a pullback to the $89.78 area, which offers a better risk/reward entry.

Bottom Line: The technicals suggest the rally may be running out of steam short-term. While the long-term trend remains bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next major move. Trade carefully and wait for confirmation at key levels.

Short Selling Info

There is currently 1 M worth of short interest in ACA, and the short ratio (or days to cover) is 4.4x. This means that at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take several days for all short positions to be covered. This moderate level indicates a balance between bearish bets and the market’s ability to absorb them without extreme volatility.

With 3.64% of the public float sold short, a moderate percentage of the stock is being shorted, showing some bearish sentiment but not an extreme level. This level has remained relatively stable compared to last month’s value of 1 M, suggesting a shift in bearish sentiment. Because the amount of investors shorting is generally low, the market tends to feel more confident and the risks of price swings from sudden short-covering activities are reduced.

Shares Short1 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover)4.40x
Short % of Float3.64%
Shares Short (Prior Month)1 M
Short Date2025-07-15

Stock Price Statistics

When looking at the price range over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $113.43 and a low of $68.11. This wide gap tells us the stock has been through significant fluctuations, likely influenced by market sentiment or company-specific news. Currently, the 50-day moving average at $88.48 is slightly above the 200-day moving average of $87.61. This ‘golden cross’ setup is often viewed as a bullish signal, indicating positive long-term momentum.

A beta of 0.99x suggests the stock’s movement is generally in line with the broader market. Combined with a low 30-day annualized volatility of 19.7%, it’s clear this stock sees frequent price swings. For investors, this means potential for gains, but also higher downside risk. These indicators matter when deciding position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that balances stability with growth exposure.

52 Week High$113.43
52 Week Low$68.11
50 Day MA$88.09
200 Day MA$91.77
Beta0.99x
Volatility (30d Ann.)19.7% 📉

Dividends Shareholder Returns

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Risk Factors

Potential investors in ACA should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.

  • ⚠️ Overall market fluctuations can impact the stock.
  • ⚠️ Factors specific to the Engineering & Construction industry or Industrials sector can affect performance.
  • ⚠️ Changes in macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, inflation) pose risks.
  • ⚠️ Unforeseen company events or news can impact the price.

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