Metrics Summary
💰 Current Price
🎯 Price Targets & Forecasts
📈 +1.8%
📈 +9.0%
📈 +7.2%
📈 Trend & Momentum
📉 ▼ Bearish (Price < SMA 50/200)
26.3 (Oversold) ❄️
📉 Bearish Short-Term Trend (-1.81)
📊 Key Technical Levels
❌ $243.50
❌ $244.90
📏 $201.68 – $312.56
⚡ Volatility
38.3% 🌪️
0.96xx ⚖️
(Moderate)
12/30 (40%) 🟡
🏢 Ownership
108.32% 🏛️
8.91% 😰
(High Bearish Bets)
Right now, ABG’s stock is trading at $237.66. The technical indicators are showing a bearish pattern because the price is holding relative to both the 50-day ($243.50) and 200-day ($244.90) moving averages. This suggests the stock has been gaining momentum recently. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 26.3 is Oversold—neither overbought nor oversold—while the MACD indicator shows a bearish short-term trend, meaning there could be some minor pullbacks before the next upward move.
Over the past year, ABG’s stock has traded between $201.68 and $312.56, which tells us two things: First, investor sentiment has been mixed. Second, the current price is trading mid-range, meaning big swings are less likely unless something major happens. Analysts expect modest growth ahead, with a 1-year target of $259.06 (+9.0%) and an average consensus target of $254.75 (+7.2%). Plus, with 108.32% institutional ownership and very low short interest (8.91%), it seems a notable number of investors are betting on a price decline.
Detailed Forecast Table
Here’s the breakdown of the month forecast for ABG ($220.71 to $296.69 overall range). The table shows projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price, and the resulting model signal per period.
Over the forecast horizon (2025-07 to 2026-07), ABG’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $220.71 and $296.69.
Forecast uncertainty appears steady, with the price range ($248.84 – $248.84 to $221.90 – $296.69) showing little change over the horizon.
Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($237.66) | Model Signal |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-07 | $248.84 | $248.84 | $248.84 | ▲ 4.7% | Consider Buy |
2025-08 | $220.71 | $242.32 | $262.86 | ▲ 2.0% | Hold/Neutral |
2025-09 | $220.74 | $241.92 | $260.93 | ▲ 1.8% | Hold/Neutral |
2025-10 | $221.08 | $239.64 | $257.66 | ● 0.8% | Hold/Neutral |
2025-11 | $222.28 | $243.10 | $263.11 | ▲ 2.3% | Hold/Neutral |
2025-12 | $228.69 | $247.92 | $269.90 | ▲ 4.3% | Consider Buy |
2026-01 | $233.65 | $248.99 | $273.67 | ▲ 4.8% | Consider Buy |
2026-02 | $236.62 | $257.29 | $279.64 | ▲ 8.3% | Consider Buy |
2026-03 | $237.78 | $261.94 | $285.28 | ▲ 10.2% | Consider Buy |
2026-04 | $230.69 | $254.53 | $278.03 | ▲ 7.1% | Consider Buy |
2026-05 | $231.72 | $254.48 | $289.51 | ▲ 7.1% | Consider Buy |
2026-06 | $230.68 | $257.70 | $287.84 | ▲ 8.4% | Consider Buy |
2026-07 | $221.90 | $259.06 | $296.69 | ▲ 9.0% | Consider Buy |
Forecasts are model-based estimates, inherently uncertain, and subject to change based on evolving data and market conditions. They do not guarantee future prices.
Company Profile
Business Overview
A brief overview of the company’s business activities. Asbury Automotive Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. It operates through Dealerships and Total Care Auto, Powered by Landcar (TCA) segments. The company offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles; and vehicle repair and maintenance services, replacement parts, collision repair, and recondition of used vehicle services. It also provides finance and insurance products, including arranging vehicle financing through third parties; and aftermarket products, such as extended vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection debt cancellation, prepaid maintenance contracts, key replacement contracts, paintless debt repair contracts, appearance protection contracts, tire and wheel, and lease wear and tear contracts. The company sells its products and services to individual retail customers, other dealers, and licensed wholesalers through its network of dealerships and at auctions. Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.
Valuation Metrics
ABG demonstrates, with its Trailing P/E at 8.15x and Forward P/E at 8.04x, suggests an attractive valuation opportunity. This indicates modest improvement expectations Meanwhile, its Price/Sales ratio of 0.25x and Price/Book of 1.21x show that the company trades at multiples that warrant attention. These metrics provide insight into market positioning.
From an enterprise value perspective, The enterprise value to revenue ratio of 0.52x indicates reasonable revenue-based valuation, and its the EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.34x suggests reasonable earnings-based valuation. These valuation metrics provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current market positioning.
Trailing P/E | 8.15x |
Forward P/E | 8.04x |
Price/Sales (TTM) | $0.25 |
Price/Book (MRQ) | $1.21 |
EV/Revenue (TTM) | 0.52x |
EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 8.34x |
Total Valuation
Although the market considers Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. to be a key player in the Auto & Truck Dealerships industry with a 4.38 B market cap, its enterprise value is much higher at 9.05 B, with 4.67B of that value added by debt. Investors are confident about Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.’s future earnings, but keep in mind the risk of that large amount of debt.
The valuation ratios tell an interesting story: at 0.52x revenue and 8.34x EBITDA, Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. trades at a valuation that reflects its market position. This reflects the company’s strong market position and brand assets. But it also means the stock may have little room for error. The upcoming 2025-07-29 earnings report will be crucial in showing whether Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.’s businesses can grow into this valuation. Essentially, you’re paying for quality – but quality doesn’t come cheap.
Market Cap | 4.38 B |
Enterprise Value | 9.05 B |
EV/Revenue (TTM) | 0.52x |
EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 8.34x |
Next Earnings Date | 2025-07-29 |
Ex-Dividend Date | 2008-07-30 |
Profitability Growth
An analysis of the key metrics in ABG’s margin performance shows the company has solid control over its costs and prices. The company is successful in controlling its production costs, as shown by the gross margin of 17.05%, and it also profits well from its core operations, reflected in the 5.82% operating margin. A 6.27% EBITDA margin indicates ABG is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. All things considered, ABG can hold onto around $3.130 in net profit for every $1 of its revenue over the last twelve months. While the business’s revenue is increasing at an aggressive rate (3.00%), investors should monitor if this pace can be sustained without eroding profit margins.
ABG’s 1.08 B in EBITDA and 2.94 B in gross profit indicate its raw earning power, while the 540.00 M in net income reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. The company appears to be balancing its pursuit of growth with the need to maintain profitability. Despite healthy gross margins, there is a significant difference between the company’s gross and net margins (17.05% vs. 3.13%). This is likely due to high operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes, which are key areas for investors to watch. In the future, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical. ABG needs to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, as this will help sustain profitability, especially if revenue growth moderates.
Profit Margin (TTM) | 3.13% |
Operating Margin (TTM) | 5.82% |
Gross Margin (TTM) | 17.05% |
EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 6.27% |
Revenue (TTM) | 17.26 B |
Revenue Growth (YoY) | 3.00% |
Gross Profit (TTM) | 2.94 B |
EBITDA (TTM) | 1.08 B |
Net Income (TTM) | 540.00 M |
Earnings Growth (YoY) | 458.00% |
Analyst Insights
This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering ABG. The consensus recommendation is ‘Hold’. This consensus is based on opinions from 8 analysts(s). The mean price target is $254.75, with individual targets ranging from $225.00 – $335.00. The average target ($254.75) suggests roughly 7.2% potential upside compared to the current price ($237.66). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.
Financial Health
ABGs financial data clearly shows that strengths and weaknesses can appear together. The 1.33x Debt/Equity ratio (with 4.82 B in debt and 149.60 M in cash) points to the fact that ABG has taken on a manageable debt load to fuel its operations and growth.
Debt/Equity (MRQ) | 1.33x |
Total Cash (MRQ) | 149.60 M |
Total Debt (MRQ) | 4.82 B |
Historical Performance
Analyzing the last 15 trading days from July 11, 2025 to July 25, 2025, ABG saw its stock post a return of -9.71%. The recent trading range was between $227.29 and $265.41, with an average volume of 153,400 shares traded daily.
Recent Trading Data
Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-07-25 | $235.15 | $237.68 | $229.65 | $237.66 | 121,100 |
2025-07-24 | $236.11 | $237.14 | $228.05 | $232.57 | 177,600 |
2025-07-23 | $235.42 | $240.83 | $234.15 | $238.52 | 126,800 |
2025-07-22 | $232.54 | $237.71 | $232.50 | $233.82 | 287,700 |
2025-07-21 | $230.78 | $234.03 | $230.69 | $231.77 | 143,200 |
2025-07-20 | $232.13 | $234.36 | $227.29 | $229.96 | 175,200 |
2025-07-19 | $232.13 | $234.36 | $227.29 | $229.96 | 175,200 |
2025-07-18 | $232.13 | $234.36 | $227.29 | $229.96 | 175,200 |
2025-07-17 | $242.63 | $245.05 | $229.46 | $229.52 | 248,100 |
2025-07-16 | $249.12 | $252.38 | $246.15 | $248.11 | 108,600 |
2025-07-15 | $265.41 | $265.41 | $248.20 | $248.31 | 198,600 |
2025-07-14 | $262.42 | $263.66 | $260.68 | $263.32 | 87,400 |
2025-07-13 | $263.85 | $264.30 | $260.77 | $263.22 | 92,100 |
2025-07-12 | $263.85 | $264.30 | $260.77 | $263.22 | 92,100 |
2025-07-11 | $263.85 | $264.30 | $260.77 | $263.22 | 92,100 |
Technical Analysis Summary
CURRENT PRICE: $237.66 | TREND: BEARISH BUT LOOKS OVERSOLD
The stock has faced downward pressure, losing -10.64% in the last 15 days. We need to analyze the technicals to see if this is a buying opportunity or a warning of further declines. Let’s break down the key levels.
Trend Strength – Still Bearish
ABG is in a bearish trend, trading below its key moving averages, which signals caution.
What This Means for Traders?
The 20-day SMA ($246.86) is now acting as overhead resistance. As long as the price stays below this level, the bearish trend is likely to continue. A rejection from this average could lead to a test of recent lows.
Momentum Check – Potential Bounce Ahead?
The RSI at 26.3 is showing oversold conditions, hinting at a potential bounce. At the same time, the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting that the upward momentum is beginning to fade.
Trading Strategy:
This oversold reading suggests a potential bounce. Aggressive traders might look for a short-term buy signal, while conservative traders should wait for the RSI to cross back above 30 to confirm a reversal.
Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels
The stock is trading near the middle of its Bollinger Bands (SMA20: $246.86), with the lower band at $218.56 offering the next level of support.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $274.50 (Recent High) → A breakout could push ABG higher.
- Support: $246.86 (20-day SMA) → If this breaks, expect a test of $218.56.
Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction
Trading volume is near its recent average, providing neutral confirmation of the current price action.
What’s the Concern?
Low volume rallies are prone to sharp reversals. If we don’t see a surge in buying interest to confirm the move, a pullback becomes more likely.
Support & Resistance – The Trading Plan
Trading Plan:
- ✅ If ABG holds above $246.86 → Bullish trend continues, next target $274.50.
- ⚠️ If it breaks below $246.86 → Expect a dip toward $218.56.
- 🛑 A drop below $218.56 → Could trigger a deeper correction to the 200-day SMA ($244.90).
Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?
Bottom Line: The technicals suggest the rally may be running out of steam short-term. While the long-term trend remains bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next major move. Trade carefully and wait for confirmation at key levels.
Short Selling Info
There is currently 1 M worth of short interest in ABG, and the short ratio (or days to cover) is 6.0x. This means that at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take several days for all short positions to be covered. This moderate level indicates a balance between bearish bets and the market’s ability to absorb them without extreme volatility.
With 8.91% of the public float sold short, a moderate percentage of the stock is being shorted, showing some bearish sentiment but not an extreme level. This level has remained relatively stable compared to last month’s value of 1 M, suggesting a shift in bearish sentiment. With notable short interest, investors should be aware of potential volatility spikes, which could be triggered by news events that force short sellers to cover their positions.
Shares Short | 1 M |
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 6.00x |
Short % of Float | 8.91% |
Shares Short (Prior Month) | 1 M |
Short Date | 2025-07-15 |
Stock Price Statistics
When looking at the price range over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $312.56 and a low of $201.68. This wide gap tells us the stock has been through significant fluctuations, likely influenced by market sentiment or company-specific news. Currently, the 50-day moving average stands at $243.50, which is slightly below the 200-day moving average of $244.90. This setup may signal a short-term pullback or consolidation phase, especially for technical traders tracking momentum and trend direction.
A beta of 0.96x suggests the stock’s movement is generally in line with the broader market. Combined with a moderate 30-day annualized volatility of 38.3%, it’s clear this stock sees frequent price swings. For investors, this means potential for gains, but also higher downside risk. These indicators matter when deciding position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that balances stability with growth exposure.
52 Week High | $312.56 |
52 Week Low | $201.68 |
50 Day MA | $238.66 |
200 Day MA | $245.20 |
Beta | 0.96x |
Volatility (30d Ann.) | 38.3% 📉 |
Risk Factors
Potential investors in ABG should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.
- ⚠️ Overall market fluctuations can impact the stock.
- ⚠️ Factors specific to the Auto & Truck Dealerships industry or Consumer Cyclical sector can affect performance.
- ⚠️ Changes in macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, inflation) pose risks.
- ⚠️ Unforeseen company events or news can impact the price.
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