Is ABBV Ready for a Breakout? August 2025 Technical & Fundamental Review

Is ABBV Ready for a Breakout? August 2025 Technical & Fundamental Review

Metrics Summary

💰 Current Price

$195.22
Live Market Price

🎯 Price Targets & Forecasts

1-Month Forecast:

$202.40

📈 +3.7%

1-Year Forecast:

$220.51

📈 +13.0%

Analyst Mean Target:

$214.24

📈 +9.7%

📈 Trend & Momentum

Trend:

🚀 ▲ Bullish (Price > SMA 50/200)
RSI (14-day):

62.5 (Neutral) ⚖️
MACD:

📈 Bullish Short-Term Trend (0.22)

📊 Key Technical Levels

Above SMA 50:

✅ $187.65
Above SMA 200:

✅ $188.01
52-Week Range:

📏 $163.81 – $218.66

⚡ Volatility

Volatility (30d Ann.):

19.6% 🏞️
Beta (vs. Market):

0.50xx 🛡️
(Low Sensitivity)
Green Days (30d):

10/30 (33%) 🔴

🏢 Ownership

Institutional Ownership:

74.94% 🏛️
Short % of Float:

0.88% 😊
(Low Bearish Bets)

Right now, ABBV’s stock is trading at $195.22. The technical indicators are showing a bullish pattern because the price is holding relative to both the 50-day ($187.65) and 200-day ($188.01) moving averages. This suggests the stock has been gaining momentum recently. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 62.5 is Neutral—neither overbought nor oversold—while the MACD indicator shows a bullish short-term trend, meaning there could be some minor pullbacks before the next upward move.

Over the past year, ABBV’s stock has traded between $163.81 and $218.66, which tells us two things: First, investor sentiment has been mixed. Second, the current price is trading mid-range, meaning big swings are less likely unless something major happens. Analysts expect modest growth ahead, with a 1-year target of $220.51 (+13.0%) and an average consensus target of $214.24 (+9.7%). Plus, with 74.94% institutional ownership and very low short interest (0.88% (Low Bearish Bets)), it seems most big investors are betting on the company’s long-term success rather than a decline.

Detailed Forecast Table

The detailed monthy forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for ABBV’s price evolution ($190.77 to $237.79). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-08 to 2026-08), ABBV’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $190.77 and $237.79.

The projected price range remains relatively consistent (from $195.22 – $195.22 to $211.27 – $235.51), implying stable forecast uncertainty.

Month (Period)Min. PriceAvg. PriceMax. PricePotential ROI vs Current ($195.22)Model Signal
2025-08$195.22$195.22$195.22 0.0%Hold/Neutral
2025-09$190.77$202.40$213.23 3.7%Consider Buy
2025-10$192.79$202.92$212.05 3.9%Consider Buy
2025-11$195.27$204.25$218.24 4.6%Consider Buy
2025-12$193.77$205.67$216.95 5.4%Consider Buy
2026-01$198.35$209.81$223.85 7.5%Consider Buy
2026-02$200.62$213.76$224.64 9.5%Consider Buy
2026-03$207.66$222.77$237.79 14.1%Consider Buy
2026-04$209.55$223.56$236.76 14.5%Consider Buy
2026-05$205.29$218.48$231.92 11.9%Consider Buy
2026-06$199.00$215.13$228.37 10.2%Consider Buy
2026-07$198.63$216.85$234.38 11.1%Consider Buy
2026-08$211.27$220.51$235.51 13.0%Consider Buy

Model forecasts like these are estimates with built-in uncertainty. They depend on current data and assumptions, which can change. Actual prices are not guaranteed.

Company Profile

Sector: Healthcare
Industry: Drug Manufacturers – General
Market Cap: 350.75 B
Employees: 55,000

Business Overview

A brief overview of the company’s business activities. AbbVie Inc., a research-based biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, commercialization, and sale of medicines and therapies worldwide. The company offers Humira, an injection for autoimmune and intestinal Behçet’s diseases, generalized pustular psoriasis, and pyoderma gangrenosum; Skyrizi to treat autoimmune diseases, erythrodermic psoriasis, generalized pustular psoriasis, and palmoplantar pustulosis; Rinvoq to treat inflammatory diseases; Imbruvica for the treatment of adult patients with blood cancers; Venclexta/Venclyxto to treat blood cancers; Elahere to treat various cancer; and Epkinly to treat lymphoma. It also provides facial injectables, plastics and regenerative medicine, body contouring, and skincare products; botox therapeutic to treat neurologic diseases; Vraylar to treat schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, and depressive disorder; Duopa and Duodopa to treat Parkinson’s disease; Ubrelvy to treat migraine; and Qulipta for episodic and chronic migraine, as well as other neuroscience products. In addition, the company offers Ozurdex for eye diseases; Lumigan/Ganfort and Alphagan/Combigan for the reduction of elevated intraocular pressure in patients with open angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension; Restasis to increase tear production; and other eye care products. Further, it provides Mavyret/Maviret to treat chronic hepatitis C virus genotype 1-6 infection; Creon, a pancreatic enzyme therapy; and Linzess/Constella to treat irritable bowel syndrome with constipation and chronic idiopathic constipation. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in North Chicago, Illinois.

Valuation Metrics

ABBV demonstrates, with its Trailing P/E at 94.55x and Forward P/E at 16.37x, indicates a reasonably valued position. This suggests potential earnings growth expectations Meanwhile, its Price/Sales ratio of 6.01x and Price/Book of 246.95x show that the company trades at multiples that warrant attention. These metrics provide insight into market positioning.

From an enterprise value perspective, The enterprise value to revenue ratio of 7.12x indicates reasonable revenue-based valuation, and its the EV/EBITDA multiple of 14.97x suggests a potentially stretched valuation. These valuation metrics provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current market positioning.

Trailing P/E94.55x
Forward P/E16.37x
Price/Sales (TTM)$6.01
Price/Book (MRQ)$246.95
EV/Revenue (TTM)7.12x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)14.97x

Total Valuation

Although the market considers AbbVie Inc. to be a key player in the Drug Manufacturers – General industry with a 350.75 B market cap, its enterprise value is much higher at 415.60 B, with 64.85B of that value added by debt. Investors are confident about AbbVie Inc.’s future earnings, but keep in mind the risk of that large amount of debt.

The valuation ratios tell an interesting story: at 7.12x revenue and 14.97x EBITDA, AbbVie Inc. trades at a premium to many peers. This reflects the company’s strong market position and brand assets. But it also means the stock may have little room for error. The upcoming 2025-07-31 earnings report will be crucial in showing whether AbbVie Inc.’s businesses can grow into this valuation, while the 2025-07-15 ex-dividend date serves as a reminder that AbbVie Inc. still rewards shareholders even as it invests for growth. Essentially, you’re paying for quality – but quality doesn’t come cheap.

Market Cap350.75 B
Enterprise Value415.60 B
EV/Revenue (TTM)7.12x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)14.97x
Next Earnings Date2025-07-31
Ex-Dividend Date2025-07-15

Profitability Growth

An analysis of the key metrics in ABBV’s margin performance shows the company has solid control over its costs and prices. The company is successful in controlling its production costs, as shown by the gross margin of 71.03%, and it also profits well from its core operations, reflected in the 37.07% operating margin. A 47.59% EBITDA margin indicates ABBV is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. All things considered, ABBV can hold onto around $6.450 in net profit for every $1 of its revenue over the last twelve months. While the business’s revenue is increasing at an aggressive rate (6.60%), investors should monitor if this pace can be sustained without eroding profit margins.

ABBV’s 27.76 B in EBITDA and 41.43 B in gross profit indicate its raw earning power, while the 3.72 B in net income reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. The company appears to be balancing its pursuit of growth with the need to maintain profitability. Despite healthy gross margins, there is a significant difference between the company’s gross and net margins (71.03% vs. 6.45%). This is likely due to high operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes, which are key areas for investors to watch. In the future, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical. ABBV needs to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, as this will help sustain profitability, especially if revenue growth moderates.

Profit Margin (TTM)6.45%
Operating Margin (TTM)37.07%
Gross Margin (TTM)71.03%
EBITDA Margin (TTM)47.59%
Revenue (TTM)58.33 B
Revenue Growth (YoY)6.60%
Gross Profit (TTM)41.43 B
EBITDA (TTM)27.76 B
Net Income (TTM)3.72 B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-32.40%

Analyst Insights

Here’s the consensus from Wall Street analysts on ABBV. The average recommendation is ‘Buy’. This consensus is based on opinions from 25 analysts(s). Targets average $214.24 (within a range of $170.00 – $255.00). The average target ($214.24) suggests roughly 9.7% potential upside compared to the current price ($195.22). This reflects overall analyst sentiment on the stock’s outlook.

Recommendation: Buy
Mean Target Price: $214.24
High Target Price: $255.00
Low Target Price: $170.00
Number of Analyst Opinions: 25

Financial Health

ABBVs financial data clearly shows that strengths and weaknesses can appear together. The 47.90x Debt/Equity ratio (with 70.02 B in debt and 5.18 B in cash) points to the fact that ABBV has taken on a very high level of debt to fuel its operations and growth.

This combination of high debt and negative operating cash flow is a significant red flag. It indicates the company is burning through cash while servicing a large debt load, a high-risk situation that could lead to financial distress if not reversed quickly.

Debt/Equity (MRQ)47.90x
Total Cash (MRQ)5.18 B
Total Debt (MRQ)70.02 B

Historical Performance

Analyzing the last 15 trading days from July 18, 2025 to August 01, 2025, ABBV saw its stock post a return of +3.15%. The recent trading range was between $184.63 and $198.83, with an average volume of 5,232,080 shares traded daily.

Recent Trading Data

DateOpenHighLowCloseVolume
2025-08-01$189.92$197.06$189.79$195.228,082,000
2025-07-31$197.06$198.83$187.62$189.0210,347,900
2025-07-30$191.77$192.70$188.01$189.315,008,400
2025-07-29$189.15$192.49$187.86$191.226,715,500
2025-07-28$191.21$191.21$187.64$188.523,776,900
2025-07-27$191.40$191.40$188.53$190.283,786,800
2025-07-26$191.40$191.40$188.53$190.283,786,800
2025-07-25$191.40$191.40$188.53$190.283,786,800
2025-07-24$190.76$192.24$189.99$190.833,462,700
2025-07-23$187.05$190.80$186.77$190.554,344,500
2025-07-22$184.94$188.20$184.90$187.114,432,100
2025-07-21$189.62$189.90$184.63$184.854,954,800
2025-07-20$191.51$192.34$188.57$189.265,332,000
2025-07-19$191.51$192.34$188.57$189.265,332,000
2025-07-18$191.51$192.34$188.57$189.265,332,000

Technical Analysis Summary

CURRENT PRICE: $195.22 | TREND: BULLISH

The stock has been on a notable run, gaining +2.00% in just 15 days, but several technical signs suggest we should be cautious about chasing this momentum. Let’s break down what the charts are telling us and how we can position ourselves.

Trend Strength – Still Bullish

ABBV is trading above its key moving averages, which confirms the uptrend remains intact. The 20-day SMA at $189.72 is acting as immediate dynamic support.

What This Means for Traders?

As long as ABBV holds above the 20-day SMA ($189.72), the bullish momentum could continue. However, a rapid rise can push the stock far from its averages, increasing the risk of a pullback.

Momentum Check – Is Momentum Fading?

The RSI at 62.5 is in a neutral zone, indicating balanced momentum. At the same time, the MACD histogram is positive, confirming the upward momentum is still in play.

Trading Strategy:

This neutral RSI reading provides flexibility. Watch for a decisive MACD crossover or a break of a key support/resistance level for the next directional clue.

Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels

The price is ‘walking the band,’ trading above the upper Bollinger Band ($193.93). This is a sign of a very strong trend, but also increases the risk of a sharp snap-back if momentum stalls.

Key Levels to Watch:

  • Resistance: $198.83 (Recent High) → A breakout could push ABBV higher.
  • Support: $189.72 (20-day SMA) → If this breaks, expect a test of $185.50.

Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction

Trading volume is near its recent average, providing neutral confirmation of the current price action.

Support & Resistance – The Trading Plan

Trading Plan:

  • ✅  If ABBV holds above $189.72 → Bullish trend continues, next target $198.83.
  • ⚠️  If it breaks below $189.72 → Expect a dip toward $185.50.
  • 🛑  A drop below $185.50 → Could trigger a deeper correction to the 200-day SMA ($188.01).

Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?

Short-Term Traders: The trend is positive but monitor for signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance may be best until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or volume.
Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend is valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA ($188.01). A pullback to the 50-day SMA ($187.65) area could present a safer buying opportunity.
New Buyers: Avoid chasing the rally here. Wait for either a confirmed breakout above $198.83 with strong volume, or a pullback to the $189.72 area, which offers a better risk/reward entry.

Bottom Line: The technicals suggest the rally may be running out of steam short-term. While the long-term trend remains bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next major move. Trade carefully and wait for confirmation at key levels.

Short Selling Info

There is currently 16 M worth of short interest in ABBV, and the short ratio (or days to cover) is 2.2x. This means that at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take around 2 days for all short positions to be covered. This low level suggests that short sellers do not currently have significant control over the stock’s price, and the risk of a prolonged ‘short squeeze’ is relatively low.

With 0.88% of the public float sold short, a very low percentage of the available shares are being shorted, indicating a general lack of bearish sentiment among investors. This level has increased recently from 15 M, suggesting a shift in bearish sentiment. Because the amount of investors shorting is generally low, the market tends to feel more confident and the risks of price swings from sudden short-covering activities are reduced.

Shares Short16 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover)2.20x
Short % of Float0.88%
Shares Short (Prior Month)15 M
Short Date2025-07-15

Stock Price Statistics

When looking at the price range over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $218.66 and a low of $163.81. This moderate gap indicates the stock has experienced notable price swings over the year. Currently, the 50-day moving average stands at $187.65, which is slightly below the 200-day moving average of $188.01. This setup may signal a short-term pullback or consolidation phase, especially for technical traders tracking momentum and trend direction.

With a beta of 0.50x, the stock tends to be less volatile than the broader market, moving about 50% less. Combined with a low 30-day annualized volatility of 19.6%, it’s clear this stock sees frequent price swings. For investors, this means potential for gains, but also higher downside risk. These indicators matter when deciding position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that balances stability with growth exposure.

52 Week High$218.66
52 Week Low$163.81
50 Day MA$188.80
200 Day MA$187.90
Beta0.50x
Volatility (30d Ann.)19.6% 📉

Dividends Shareholder Returns

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Risk Factors

Potential investors in ABBV should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.

  • ⚠️ Overall market fluctuations can impact the stock.
  • ⚠️ Factors specific to the Drug Manufacturers – General industry or Healthcare sector can affect performance.
  • ⚠️ Changes in macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, inflation) pose risks.
  • ⚠️ Unforeseen company events or news can impact the price.

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