How High Can AAMI Go? 2025 Price Targets & Analysis

How High Can AAMI Go? 2025 Price Targets & Analysis

Metrics Summary

💰 Current Price

$39.58
Live Market Price

🎯 Price Targets & Forecasts

1-Month Forecast:

$32.60

📉 -17.6%

1-Year Forecast:

$37.67

📉 -4.8%

Analyst Mean Target:

$38.33

📉 -3.2%

📈 Trend & Momentum

Trend:

🚀 ▲ Bullish (Price > SMA 50/200)
RSI (14-day):

46.2 (Neutral) ⚖️
MACD:

📉 Bearish Short-Term Trend (-0.19)

📊 Key Technical Levels

Above SMA 50:

✅ $36.78
Above SMA 200:

✅ $29.16
52-Week Range:

📏 $21.49 – $42.63

⚡ Volatility

Volatility (30d Ann.):

28.1% 🌊
Beta (vs. Market):

1.38xx 🎢
(High Sensitivity)
Green Days (30d):

19/30 (63%) 🟢

🏢 Ownership

Institutional Ownership:

103.64% 🏛️
Short % of Float:

6.32% 😰
(High Bearish Bets)

Right now, AAMI’s stock is trading at $39.58. The technical indicators are showing a bullish pattern because the price is holding relative to both the 50-day ($36.78) and 200-day ($29.16) moving averages. This suggests the stock has been gaining momentum recently. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 46.2 is Neutral—neither overbought nor oversold—while the MACD indicator shows a bearish short-term trend, meaning there could be some minor pullbacks before the next upward move.

Over the past year, AAMI’s stock has traded between $21.49 and $42.63, which tells us two things: First, the stock has recovered significantly from its lows. Second, the current price is near the higher end of that range, meaning big swings are less likely unless something major happens. Analysts expect modest growth ahead, with a 1-year target of $37.67 (-4.8%) and an average consensus target of $38.33 (-3.2%). Plus, with 103.64% institutional ownership and very low short interest (6.32%), it seems a notable number of investors are betting on a price decline.

Detailed Forecast Table

Here’s the breakdown of the month forecast for AAMI ($29.71 to $41.89 overall range). The table shows projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price, and the resulting model signal per period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-08 to 2026-08), AAMI’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $29.71 and $41.89.

The projected price range remains relatively consistent (from $39.58 – $39.58 to $35.04 – $40.68), implying stable forecast uncertainty.

Month (Period)Min. PriceAvg. PriceMax. PricePotential ROI vs Current ($39.58)Model Signal
2025-08$39.58$39.58$39.58 0.0%Hold/Neutral
2025-09$30.09$32.60$35.49 -17.6%Consider Short
2025-10$29.71$32.57$35.50 -17.7%Consider Short
2025-11$30.15$33.34$36.68 -15.8%Consider Short
2025-12$31.58$35.20$37.99 -11.1%Consider Short
2026-01$32.25$34.90$37.66 -11.8%Consider Short
2026-02$32.26$34.74$37.60 -12.2%Consider Short
2026-03$32.06$35.56$38.84 -10.2%Consider Short
2026-04$32.61$35.95$38.97 -9.2%Consider Short
2026-05$33.04$36.48$40.02 -7.8%Consider Short
2026-06$32.75$37.01$41.10 -6.5%Consider Short
2026-07$33.73$37.46$41.89 -5.4%Consider Short
2026-08$35.04$37.67$40.68 -4.8%Consider Short

Forecasts are model-based estimates, inherently uncertain, and subject to change based on evolving data and market conditions. They do not guarantee future prices.

Company Profile

Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Asset Management
Market Cap: 1.43 B
Employees: 383

Company Description

A brief overview of the company’s business activities. BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. is a publically owned asset management holding company. The firm provides its services to individuals and institutions. It manages separate client focused portfolios through its subsidiaries. The firm also launches equity mutual funds for its clients. It invests in public equity, fixed income, and alternative investment markets through its subsidiaries. The firm was founded in 1980 is based Boston, Massachusetts. It was formally known as BrightSphere Investment Group plc. BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. was formed in 1980 and is based in Boston, Massachusetts.

Valuation Metrics

AAMI demonstrates, with its Trailing P/E at 16.67x and Forward P/E at 10.17x, suggests an attractive valuation opportunity. This suggests potential earnings growth expectations Meanwhile, its Price/Sales ratio of 2.65x and Price/Book of 155.59x show that the company trades at multiples that warrant attention. These metrics provide insight into market positioning.

From an enterprise value perspective, The enterprise value to revenue ratio of 3.28x indicates reasonable revenue-based valuation, and its the EV/EBITDA multiple of 11.22x suggests reasonable earnings-based valuation. These valuation metrics provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current market positioning.

Trailing P/E16.67x
Forward P/E10.17x
Price/Sales (TTM)$2.65
Price/Book (MRQ)$155.59
EV/Revenue (TTM)3.28x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)11.22x

Total Valuation

Although the market considers Acadian Asset Management Inc. to be a key player in the Asset Management industry with a 1.43 B market cap, its enterprise value is much higher at 1.69 B, with 260.00M of that value added by debt. Investors are confident about Acadian Asset Management Inc.’s future earnings, but keep in mind the risk of that large amount of debt.

The valuation ratios tell an interesting story: at 3.28x revenue and 11.22x EBITDA, Acadian Asset Management Inc. trades at a valuation that reflects its market position. This reflects the company’s strong market position and brand assets. But it also means the stock may have little room for error. The upcoming 2025-07-31 earnings report will be crucial in showing whether Acadian Asset Management Inc.’s businesses can grow into this valuation, while the 2025-06-13 ex-dividend date serves as a reminder that Acadian Asset Management Inc. still rewards shareholders even as it invests for growth. Essentially, you’re paying for quality – but quality doesn’t come cheap.

Market Cap1.43 B
Enterprise Value1.69 B
EV/Revenue (TTM)3.28x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)11.22x
Next Earnings Date2025-07-31
Ex-Dividend Date2025-06-13

Profitability Growth

An analysis of the key metrics in AAMI’s margin performance shows the company has solid control over its costs and prices. The company is successful in controlling its production costs, as shown by the gross margin of 45.52%, and it also profits well from its core operations, reflected in the 12.72% operating margin. A 29.25% EBITDA margin indicates AAMI is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. All things considered, AAMI can hold onto around $16.650 in net profit for every $1 of its revenue over the last twelve months. While the business’s revenue is increasing at an aggressive rate (16.90%), investors should monitor if this pace can be sustained without eroding profit margins.

AAMI’s 157.40 M in EBITDA and 245.00 M in gross profit indicate its raw earning power, while the 89.60 M in net income reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. The company appears to be balancing its pursuit of growth with the need to maintain profitability. Despite healthy gross margins, there is a significant difference between the company’s gross and net margins (45.52% vs. 16.65%). This is likely due to high operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes, which are key areas for investors to watch. In the future, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical. AAMI needs to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, as this will help sustain profitability, especially if revenue growth moderates.

Profit Margin (TTM)16.65%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.72%
Gross Margin (TTM)45.52%
EBITDA Margin (TTM)29.25%
Revenue (TTM)538.20 M
Revenue Growth (YoY)16.90%
Gross Profit (TTM)245.00 M
EBITDA (TTM)157.40 M
Net Income (TTM)89.60 M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-3.40%

Analyst Insights

This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering AAMI. The consensus recommendation is ‘Hold’. This consensus is based on opinions from 3 analysts(s). The mean price target is $38.33, with individual targets ranging from $30.00 – $43.00. The average target ($38.33) suggests roughly -3.2% potential downside compared to the current price ($39.58). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.

Recommendation: Hold
Mean Target Price: $38.33
High Target Price: $43.00
Low Target Price: $30.00
Number of Analyst Opinions: 3

Financial Health

AAMIs financial data clearly shows that strengths and weaknesses can appear together. The ROE and ROA of 301.03% and 14.53%, respectively, reflect a highly efficient use of capital, often seen in fast-growing firms. The 4.12x Debt/Equity ratio (with 358.30 M in debt and 90.20 M in cash) points to the fact that AAMI has taken on a very high level of debt to fuel its operations and growth.

The Current Ratio of 1.72x and Quick Ratio of 1.72x show a solid liquidity position, able to cover its short-term liabilities. This combination of high debt and negative operating cash flow is a significant red flag. It indicates the company is burning through cash while servicing a large debt load, a high-risk situation that could lead to financial distress if not reversed quickly.

Return on Equity (ROE TTM)301.03%
Return on Assets (ROA TTM)14.53%
Debt/Equity (MRQ)4.12x
Total Cash (MRQ)90.20 M
Total Debt (MRQ)358.30 M
Current Ratio (MRQ)1.72x
Quick Ratio (MRQ)1.72x

Historical Performance

Analyzing the last 15 trading days from July 18, 2025 to August 01, 2025, AAMI saw its stock post a return of -1.20%. The recent trading range was between $38.69 and $42.63, with an average volume of 217,940 shares traded daily.

Recent Trading Data

DateOpenHighLowCloseVolume
2025-08-01$40.68$40.97$39.20$39.58375,100
2025-07-31$40.00$42.63$39.20$41.79540,200
2025-07-30$39.78$40.20$39.21$39.64303,400
2025-07-29$40.27$40.27$39.42$39.75175,200
2025-07-28$39.75$40.25$39.65$39.86191,400
2025-07-27$39.72$39.95$39.62$39.92126,900
2025-07-26$39.72$39.95$39.62$39.92126,900
2025-07-25$39.72$39.95$39.62$39.92126,900
2025-07-24$40.00$40.35$39.92$39.95144,400
2025-07-23$39.66$40.25$39.66$40.03148,400
2025-07-22$39.18$39.59$38.69$39.51193,100
2025-07-21$40.25$40.25$39.28$39.30154,800
2025-07-20$40.15$40.57$39.82$40.06220,800
2025-07-19$40.15$40.57$39.82$40.06220,800
2025-07-18$40.15$40.57$39.82$40.06220,800

Technical Analysis Summary

CURRENT PRICE: $39.58 | TREND: BULLISH BUT SHOWS SIGNS OF SLOWING

The stock has faced downward pressure, losing -1.22% in the last 15 days. We need to analyze the technicals to see if this is a buying opportunity or a warning of further declines. Let’s break down the key levels.

Trend Strength – Still Bullish

AAMI is trading above its key moving averages, which confirms the uptrend remains intact. The 20-day SMA at $39.84 is acting as immediate dynamic support.

What This Means for Traders?

As long as AAMI holds above the 20-day SMA ($39.84), the bullish momentum could continue. However, a rapid rise can push the stock far from its averages, increasing the risk of a pullback.

Momentum Check – Is Momentum Fading?

The RSI at 46.2 is in a neutral zone, indicating balanced momentum. At the same time, the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting that the upward momentum is beginning to fade.

Trading Strategy:

This neutral RSI reading provides flexibility. Watch for a decisive MACD crossover or a break of a key support/resistance level for the next directional clue.

Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels

The stock is trading near the middle of its Bollinger Bands (SMA20: $39.84), with the lower band at $38.70 offering the next level of support.

Key Levels to Watch:

  • Resistance: $42.63 (Recent High) → A breakout could push AAMI higher.
  • Support: $39.84 (20-day SMA) → If this breaks, expect a test of $38.70.

Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction

Trading volume is near its recent average, providing neutral confirmation of the current price action.

Support & Resistance – The Trading Plan

Trading Plan:

  • ✅  If AAMI holds above $39.84 → Bullish trend continues, next target $42.63.
  • ⚠️  If it breaks below $39.84 → Expect a dip toward $38.70.
  • 🛑  A drop below $38.70 → Could trigger a deeper correction to the 200-day SMA ($29.16).

Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?

Short-Term Traders: The trend is positive but monitor for signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance may be best until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or volume.
Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend is valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA ($29.16). A pullback to the 50-day SMA ($36.78) area could present a safer buying opportunity.
New Buyers: Avoid chasing the rally here. Wait for either a confirmed breakout above $42.63 with strong volume, or a pullback to the $39.84 area, which offers a better risk/reward entry.

Bottom Line: The technicals suggest the rally may be running out of steam short-term. While the long-term trend remains bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next major move. Trade carefully and wait for confirmation at key levels.

Short Selling Info

There is currently 740 K worth of short interest in AAMI, and the short ratio (or days to cover) is 2.5x. This means that at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take around 2 days for all short positions to be covered. This low level suggests that short sellers do not currently have significant control over the stock’s price, and the risk of a prolonged ‘short squeeze’ is relatively low.

With 6.32% of the public float sold short, a moderate percentage of the stock is being shorted, showing some bearish sentiment but not an extreme level. This level has increased recently from 582 K, suggesting a shift in bearish sentiment. With notable short interest, investors should be aware of potential volatility spikes, which could be triggered by news events that force short sellers to cover their positions.

Shares Short740 K
Short Ratio (Days To Cover)2.50x
Short % of Float6.32%
Shares Short (Prior Month)582 K
Short Date2025-07-15

Stock Price Statistics

When looking at the price range over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $42.63 and a low of $21.49. This wide gap tells us the stock has been through significant fluctuations, likely influenced by market sentiment or company-specific news. Currently, the 50-day moving average at $36.78 is above the 200-day moving average of $29.16. This ‘golden cross’ setup is often viewed as a bullish signal, indicating positive long-term momentum.

The stock carries a beta of 1.38x, which means it tends to move more sharply than the broader market—about 38% more volatile. Combined with a moderate 30-day annualized volatility of 28.1%, it’s clear this stock sees frequent price swings. For investors, this means potential for gains, but also higher downside risk. These indicators matter when deciding position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that balances stability with growth exposure.

52 Week High$42.63
52 Week Low$21.49
50 Day MA$34.90
200 Day MA$28.94
Beta1.38x
Volatility (30d Ann.)28.1% 📉

Dividends Shareholder Returns

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Risk Factors

Potential investors in AAMI should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.

  • ⚠️ Overall market fluctuations can impact the stock.
  • ⚠️ Factors specific to the Asset Management industry or Financial Services sector can affect performance.
  • ⚠️ Changes in macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, inflation) pose risks.
  • ⚠️ Unforeseen company events or news can impact the price.

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