A in the Spotlight: Strong Cash Flow & Downside Outlook

A in the Spotlight: Strong Cash Flow & Downside Outlook

Metrics Summary

💰 Current Price

$120.18
Live Market Price

🎯 Price Targets & Forecasts

1-Month Forecast:

$126.02

📈 +4.9%

1-Year Forecast:

$116.99

📉 -2.7%

Analyst Mean Target:

$136.95

📈 +14.0%

📈 Trend & Momentum

Trend:

⚖️ ● Mixed Trend
RSI (14-day):

44.2 (Neutral) ⚖️
MACD:

📈 Bullish Short-Term Trend (0.21)

📊 Key Technical Levels

Above SMA 50:

✅ $118.07
Above SMA 200:

❌ $121.50
52-Week Range:

📏 $96.43 – $153.84

⚡ Volatility

Volatility (30d Ann.):

29.2% 🌊
Beta (vs. Market):

1.23xx 🎢
(High Sensitivity)
Green Days (30d):

15/30 (50%) 🟡

🏢 Ownership

Institutional Ownership:

91.77% 🏛️
Short % of Float:

1.40% 😊
(Low Bearish Bets)

Right now, A’s stock is trading at $120.18. The technical indicators are showing a mixed pattern because the price is holding relative to both the 50-day ($118.07) and 200-day ($121.50) moving averages. This suggests the stock has been gaining momentum recently. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 44.2 is Neutral—neither overbought nor oversold—while the MACD indicator shows a bullish short-term trend, meaning there could be some minor pullbacks before the next upward move.

Over the past year, A’s stock has traded between $96.43 and $153.84, which tells us two things: First, investor sentiment has been mixed. Second, the current price is trading mid-range, meaning big swings are less likely unless something major happens. Analysts expect modest growth ahead, with a 1-year target of $116.99 (-2.7%) and an average consensus target of $136.95 (+14.0%). Plus, with 91.77% institutional ownership and very low short interest (1.40% (Low Bearish Bets)), it seems most big investors are betting on the company’s long-term success rather than a decline.

Detailed Forecast Table

The detailed monthy forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for A’s price evolution ($97.12 to $144.94). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-07 to 2026-07), A’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $97.12 and $144.94.

The projected price range remains relatively consistent (from $119.01 – $119.01 to $98.05 – $135.69), implying stable forecast uncertainty.

Month (Period)Min. PriceAvg. PriceMax. PricePotential ROI vs Current ($120.18)Model Signal
2025-07$119.01$119.01$119.01 -1.0%Hold/Neutral
2025-08$109.77$122.50$137.19 1.9%Hold/Neutral
2025-09$115.55$126.02$140.75 4.9%Consider Buy
2025-10$109.40$124.48$138.16 3.6%Consider Buy
2025-11$112.50$123.92$138.68 3.1%Consider Buy
2025-12$113.34$127.93$140.04 6.5%Consider Buy
2026-01$120.15$130.26$144.94 8.4%Consider Buy
2026-02$117.30$129.79$141.28 8.0%Consider Buy
2026-03$110.78$125.66$140.10 4.6%Consider Buy
2026-04$104.70$122.04$135.86 1.6%Hold/Neutral
2026-05$102.15$119.62$137.13 -0.5%Hold/Neutral
2026-06$97.12$117.84$132.23 -1.9%Hold/Neutral
2026-07$98.05$116.99$135.69 -2.7%Consider Short

Remember that these forecasts are generated by models, carry inherent uncertainty, and can change with new data or market shifts. Future prices are not guaranteed.

Company Profile

Sector: Healthcare
Industry: Diagnostics & Research
Market Cap: 33.82 B
Employees: 18,000

Company Description

A brief overview of the company’s business activities. Agilent Technologies, Inc. provides application focused solutions to the life sciences, diagnostics, and applied chemical markets worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Life Sciences and Applied Markets, Diagnostics and Genomics, and Agilent CrossLab. The Life Sciences and Applied Markets segment offers liquid chromatography systems and components; liquid chromatography mass spectrometry systems; gas chromatography systems and components; gas chromatography mass spectrometry systems; inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry instruments; atomic absorption instruments; microwave plasma-atomic emission spectrometry instruments; inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectrometry instruments; raman spectroscopy; laboratory software; information management and analytics; laboratory automation and robotic systems; dissolution testing; and vacuum pumps, and measurement technologies. This segment also offers GC and LC columns, sample preparation products, custom chemistries, and laboratory instrument supplies. The Diagnostics and Genomics segment provides genomics, contract manufacturing and research and development, pathology, companion diagnostics, reagent partnership, and biomolecular analysis businesses; and cell analysis plate based assays, flow cytometers, real-time cell analyzers, cell imaging systems, microplate readers, and related consumables. The Agilent CrossLab segment provides various services, including repairs, parts, maintenance, installations, training, compliance support, software as a service, asset management, and consulting services. The company markets its products through direct sales, distributors, resellers, manufacturer’s representatives, and electronic commerce. Agilent Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Valuation Metrics

A demonstrates, with its Trailing P/E at 29.32x and Forward P/E at 21.07x, indicates a reasonably valued position. This suggests potential earnings growth expectations Meanwhile, its Price/Sales ratio of 5.10x and Price/Book of 5.51x show that the company trades at multiples that warrant attention. These metrics provide insight into market positioning.

From an enterprise value perspective, The enterprise value to revenue ratio of 5.47x indicates reasonable revenue-based valuation, and its the EV/EBITDA multiple of 19.75x suggests a potentially stretched valuation. These valuation metrics provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current market positioning.

Trailing P/E29.32x
Forward P/E21.07x
Price/Sales (TTM)$5.10
Price/Book (MRQ)$5.51
EV/Revenue (TTM)5.47x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)19.75x

Total Valuation

Although the market considers Agilent Technologies, Inc. to be a key player in the Diagnostics & Research industry with a 33.82 B market cap, its enterprise value is much higher at 36.02 B, with 2.20B of that value added by debt. Investors are confident about Agilent Technologies, Inc.’s future earnings, but keep in mind the risk of that large amount of debt.

The valuation ratios tell an interesting story: at 5.47x revenue and 19.75x EBITDA, Agilent Technologies, Inc. trades at a premium to many peers. This reflects the company’s strong market position and brand assets. But it also means the stock may have little room for error. The upcoming 2025-08-27 earnings report will be crucial in showing whether Agilent Technologies, Inc.’s businesses can grow into this valuation, while the 2025-07-01 ex-dividend date serves as a reminder that Agilent Technologies, Inc. still rewards shareholders even as it invests for growth. Essentially, you’re paying for quality – but quality doesn’t come cheap.

Market Cap33.82 B
Enterprise Value36.02 B
EV/Revenue (TTM)5.47x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)19.75x
Next Earnings Date2025-08-27
Ex-Dividend Date2025-07-01

Profitability Growth

An analysis of the key metrics in A’s margin performance shows the company has solid control over its costs and prices. The company is successful in controlling its production costs, as shown by the gross margin of 53.58%, and it also profits well from its core operations, reflected in the 23.56% operating margin. A 27.69% EBITDA margin indicates A is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. All things considered, A can hold onto around $17.590 in net profit for every $1 of its revenue over the last twelve months. While the business’s revenue is increasing at an aggressive rate (6.00%), investors should monitor if this pace can be sustained without eroding profit margins.

A’s 1.84 B in EBITDA and 3.55 B in gross profit indicate its raw earning power, while the 1.17 B in net income reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. The company appears to be balancing its pursuit of growth with the need to maintain profitability. Despite healthy gross margins, there is a significant difference between the company’s gross and net margins (53.58% vs. 17.59%). This is likely due to high operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes, which are key areas for investors to watch. In the future, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical. A needs to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, as this will help sustain profitability, especially if revenue growth moderates.

Profit Margin (TTM)17.59%
Operating Margin (TTM)23.56%
Gross Margin (TTM)53.58%
EBITDA Margin (TTM)27.69%
Revenue (TTM)6.63 B
Revenue Growth (YoY)6.00%
Gross Profit (TTM)3.55 B
EBITDA (TTM)1.84 B
Net Income (TTM)1.17 B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-28.60%

Analyst Insights

Here’s the consensus from Wall Street analysts on A. The average recommendation is ‘Buy’. 15 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. Targets average $136.95 (within a range of $113.20 – $165.00). The average target ($136.95) suggests roughly 14.0% potential upside compared to the current price ($120.18). This reflects overall analyst sentiment on the stock’s outlook.

Recommendation: Buy
Mean Target Price: $136.95
High Target Price: $165.00
Low Target Price: $113.20
Number of Analyst Opinions: 15

Financial Health

A’s financial health appears robust, showcasing several key strengths. The ROE and ROA of 18.88% and 8.46%, respectively, reflect a highly efficient use of capital, often seen in fast-growing firms. The 0.60x Debt/Equity ratio (with 3.68 B in debt and 1.49 B in cash) points to the fact that A has taken on a manageable debt load to fuel its operations and growth. Even with its debt, the company’s ability to bring in 1.58 B in operating cash flow (TTM) proves that its core business can steadily produce cash, which is a significant strength.

The Current Ratio of 2.09x and Quick Ratio of 1.42x show a solid liquidity position, able to cover its short-term liabilities. Furthermore, A’s 1.05 B in levered free cash flow suggests it can still generate significant cash for shareholders even after meeting its financial obligations. For investors, this financial profile suggests a resilient and well-managed company. The low debt and strong liquidity provide a solid safety net and the flexibility to invest in growth, weather economic downturns, or increase returns to shareholders.

Return on Equity (ROE TTM)18.88%
Return on Assets (ROA TTM)8.46%
Debt/Equity (MRQ)0.60x
Total Cash (MRQ)1.49 B
Total Debt (MRQ)3.68 B
Current Ratio (MRQ)2.09x
Quick Ratio (MRQ)1.42x
Operating Cash Flow (TTM)1.58 B
Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM)1.05 B

Historical Performance

In the recent trading period from July 11, 2025 to July 25, 2025, A’s stock price achieved a total return of -2.51%. The price fluctuated between a high of $123.66 and a low of $110.75. Average daily trading volume was approximately 1,850,893 shares.

Recent Trading Data

DateOpenHighLowCloseVolume
2025-07-25$120.50$121.01$119.02$120.181,972,700
2025-07-24$119.43$122.75$119.43$120.351,602,800
2025-07-23$119.38$120.79$117.48$119.471,939,700
2025-07-22$112.85$117.05$112.14$116.191,692,000
2025-07-21$113.23$113.66$110.75$112.042,060,800
2025-07-20$116.82$117.20$113.53$113.991,521,800
2025-07-19$116.82$117.20$113.53$113.991,521,800
2025-07-18$116.82$117.20$113.53$113.991,521,800
2025-07-17$114.10$116.57$113.25$116.361,552,900
2025-07-16$113.46$114.46$111.86$113.432,248,800
2025-07-15$118.00$119.76$111.93$112.943,950,600
2025-07-14$121.84$121.86$119.27$120.082,028,700
2025-07-13$122.93$123.66$122.34$123.281,383,000
2025-07-12$122.93$123.66$122.34$123.281,383,000
2025-07-11$122.93$123.66$122.34$123.281,383,000

Technical Analysis Summary

CURRENT PRICE: $120.18 | TREND: BEARISH AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN

The stock has faced downward pressure, losing -3.21% in the last 15 days. We need to analyze the technicals to see if this is a buying opportunity or a warning of further declines. Let’s break down the key levels.

Trend Strength – Still Bearish

A is in a bearish trend, trading below its key moving averages, which signals caution.

What This Means for Traders?

The 20-day SMA ($118.50) is now acting as overhead resistance. As long as the price stays below this level, the bearish trend is likely to continue. A rejection from this average could lead to a test of recent lows.

Momentum Check – Is Momentum Fading?

The RSI at 44.2 is in a neutral zone, indicating balanced momentum. At the same time, the MACD histogram is positive, confirming the upward momentum is still in play.

Trading Strategy:

This neutral RSI reading provides flexibility. Watch for a decisive MACD crossover or a break of a key support/resistance level for the next directional clue.

Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels

The stock is trading comfortably in the upper half of its Bollinger Bands (between the 20-day SMA and the upper band), which is a sign of underlying strength.

Key Levels to Watch:

  • Resistance: $126.44 (Recent High) → A breakout could push A higher.
  • Support: $118.50 (20-day SMA) → If this breaks, expect a test of $110.52.

Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction

Trading volume is near its recent average, providing neutral confirmation of the current price action.

Support & Resistance – The Trading Plan

Trading Plan:

  • ✅  If A holds above $118.50 → Bullish trend continues, next target $126.44.
  • ⚠️  If it breaks below $118.50 → Expect a dip toward $110.52.
  • 🛑  A drop below $110.52 → Could trigger a deeper correction to the 200-day SMA ($121.50).

Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?

Short-Term Traders: The trend is positive but monitor for signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance may be best until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or volume.
Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend is valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA ($121.50). A pullback to the 50-day SMA ($118.07) area could present a safer buying opportunity.
New Buyers: Avoid chasing the rally here. Wait for either a confirmed breakout above $126.44 with strong volume, or a pullback to the $118.50 area, which offers a better risk/reward entry.

Bottom Line: The technicals suggest the rally may be running out of steam short-term. While the long-term trend remains bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next major move. Trade carefully and wait for confirmation at key levels.

Short Selling Info

There is currently 4 M worth of short interest in A, and the short ratio (or days to cover) is 1.9x. This means that at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take around 2 days for all short positions to be covered. This low level suggests that short sellers do not currently have significant control over the stock’s price, and the risk of a prolonged ‘short squeeze’ is relatively low.

With 1.40% of the public float sold short, a very low percentage of the available shares are being shorted, indicating a general lack of bearish sentiment among investors. This level has remained relatively stable compared to last month’s value of 4 M, suggesting a shift in bearish sentiment. Because the amount of investors shorting is generally low, the market tends to feel more confident and the risks of price swings from sudden short-covering activities are reduced.

Shares Short4 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover)1.90x
Short % of Float1.40%
Shares Short (Prior Month)4 M
Short Date2025-07-15

Stock Price Statistics

When looking at the price range over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $153.84 and a low of $96.43. This wide gap tells us the stock has been through significant fluctuations, likely influenced by market sentiment or company-specific news. Currently, the 50-day moving average stands at $118.07, which is slightly below the 200-day moving average of $121.50. This setup may signal a short-term pullback or consolidation phase, especially for technical traders tracking momentum and trend direction.

The stock carries a beta of 1.23x, which means it tends to move more sharply than the broader market—about 23% more volatile. Combined with a moderate 30-day annualized volatility of 29.2%, it’s clear this stock sees frequent price swings. For investors, this means potential for gains, but also higher downside risk. These indicators matter when deciding position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that balances stability with growth exposure.

52 Week High$153.84
52 Week Low$96.43
50 Day MA$116.55
200 Day MA$126.15
Beta1.23x
Volatility (30d Ann.)29.2% 📉

Dividends Shareholder Returns

Dividend Summary & Investor Implications

The company currently offers a $0.99 annual dividend per share, translating to a dividend yield of 0.83%—meaning for every $100 invested, shareholders receive $0.99 in dividends annually. This yield is above its 5-year average of 0.65%, making it more attractive to income investors today compared to its recent history.

Key Observations & Analysis:

  • The payout ratio of 23.84% is low and conservative, indicating the company uses only ~24% of its earnings to fund dividends. This leaves ample room for future increases or reinvestment in growth.
  • The very low trailing yield of 1.00% hints at a recent dividend initiation or a special, non-recurring payout, warranting further checks for consistency.
  • Investors must own the stock before the upcoming ex-dividend date of 2025-07-01 to receive the next dividend.

Investor Takeaway:

  • Income Investors: The modest yield and low payout ratio suggest dividends are safe but not a primary reason to invest. The focus may be on future dividend growth.
  • Growth Investors: The low payout ratio is a strong signal that a majority of earnings are being reinvested, which could drive future price appreciation.
  • Watch For: Announcements of dividend hikes (which could bring the yield closer to its historical average) or significant stock price changes that would alter the yield.

Dividend Rate$0.99
Dividend Yield0.83%
Payout Ratio23.84%
5 Year Average Dividend Yield0.65%
Trailing Dividend Rate$0.97
Trailing Dividend Yield0.01%
Ex-Dividend Date2025-07-01
Last Split Date2014-11-03
Last Split Factor1398:1000

Risk Factors

Investing in A involves various risks. This section outlines potential factors identified through data analysis and general market considerations. It is not exhaustive.

  • ⚠️ Overall market fluctuations can impact the stock.
  • ⚠️ Factors specific to the Diagnostics & Research industry or Healthcare sector can affect performance.
  • ⚠️ Changes in macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, inflation) pose risks.
  • ⚠️ Unforeseen company events or news can impact the price.

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