DIS Stock Analysis for Top Dunia
Introduction
This analysis focuses on The Walt Disney Company (DIS), a key player within the Entertainment industry (Communication Services sector). Trading activity on 2025-05-30 00:00:00 placed the stock price at $113.04, reflecting a robust technical setup, holding above primary moving averages. Staying above these critical SMAs generally signifies positive market sentiment and upward momentum. With a market capitalization of approximately $204.76 B, DIS represents a significant player in its field.
Here, we present a combined analysis of The Walt Disney Company (DIS), blending technical charts, fundamental metrics, and future projections. Our goal is to offer a well-rounded view of its market position, associated risks (review Risk Factors), and what the future might hold.
Company Description
The company primarily focuses on: The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences. The company produces and distributes film and television content under the ABC Television Network, Disney, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brand television channels, as well as ABC television stations and A+E television networks; and p…
Metrics Summary
Here’s a quick overview of DIS’s key metrics. With a price of $113.04, the 1-year projection aims for approximately $122.65 (+8.5%). Sentiment derived from technicals is Neutral-Bullish (Above SMA 50 / Above SMA 200). Price swing intensity is measured by volatility at 34.4%. We delve into more specific technical and fundamental analysis in the subsequent sections.
Detailed Forecast Table
Here’s the breakdown of the month forecast for DIS ($94.90 to $154.52 overall range). The table shows projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price, and the resulting model signal per period.
Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), DIS’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $94.90 and $154.52.
Forecast uncertainty appears steady, with the price range ($106.64 – $106.64 to $94.90 – $154.52) showing little change over the horizon.
| Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($113.04) | Model Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | $106.64 | $106.64 | $106.64 | ▼ -5.7% | Consider Short |
| 2025-06 | $101.55 | $112.09 | $124.41 | ● -0.8% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2025-07 | $100.21 | $112.34 | $125.39 | ● -0.6% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2025-08 | $100.73 | $113.68 | $127.64 | ● 0.6% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2025-09 | $102.05 | $113.59 | $126.03 | ● 0.5% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2025-10 | $97.56 | $112.76 | $129.09 | ● -0.2% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2025-11 | $101.61 | $114.37 | $129.34 | ▲ 1.2% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2025-12 | $101.45 | $118.02 | $135.03 | ▲ 4.4% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-01 | $101.56 | $121.54 | $142.09 | ▲ 7.5% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-02 | $98.68 | $123.43 | $149.98 | ▲ 9.2% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-03 | $101.23 | $123.42 | $150.79 | ▲ 9.2% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-04 | $95.35 | $122.67 | $150.50 | ▲ 8.5% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-05 | $94.90 | $122.65 | $154.52 | ▲ 8.5% | Consider Buy |
Model forecasts like these are estimates with built-in uncertainty. They depend on current data and assumptions, which can change. Actual prices are not guaranteed.
Company Profile
Company Description
Understanding the core business provides context for the following analysis. The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences. The company produces and distributes film and television content under the ABC Television Network, Disney, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brand television channels, as well as ABC television stations and A+E television networks; and produces original content under the Disney Branded Television, FX Productions, Lucasfilm, Marvel, National Geographic Studios, Pixar, Searchlight Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, 20th Television, and Walt Disney Pictures banners.
It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, and Hulu; sports-related video streaming content through ESPN, ESPN on ABC, ESPN+ DTC, and Star; sale/licensing of film and episodic content to television and video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; DVD and Blu-ray discs, electronic home video licenses, and VOD rental services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts comprising Walt Disney World Resort, Disneyland Resort, Disneyland Paris, Hong Kong Disneyland Resort, Shanghai Disney Resort, Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney, as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii.
Further, it licenses its intellectual property (IP) to a third party that owns and operates Tokyo Disney Resort; licenses trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games; operates a direct-to-home satellite distribution platform; sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
Valuation Metrics
To gauge if DIS’s stock is fairly priced, investors often turn to valuation metrics. These ratios compare the company’s stock price to its financial performance (like earnings or sales) or its intrinsic value (like book value). This section explores these critical indicators. Remember, a thorough analysis involves looking at these ratios in the context of DIS’s own past performance 📜, how it stacks up against competitors 👥, and the overall market sentiment. One metric alone is rarely definitive, but collectively they offer valuable clues.
Forward P/E Ratio: 22.12x
The Forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.12x indicates how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of DIS’s anticipated earnings over the next fiscal period. A lower Forward P/E can sometimes suggest that the stock is undervalued relative to its future earnings potential, or it might reflect market expectations of slower growth. Conversely, a higher Forward P/E often implies that investors have high growth expectations, or that the stock is perceived as a premium quality name. It’s a forward-looking measure, so the accuracy of the underlying earnings estimates is crucial.
Other Key Valuation Ratios:
- Trailing P/E: 23.24x – Reflects the company’s stock price relative to its earnings per share over the past 12 months (TTM). It’s a historical measure often used as a starting point for valuation.
- Price/Sales (TTM): 2.18x – Compares the company’s stock price to its total sales per share over the past 12 months. This can be particularly useful for valuing companies that are not yet profitable or are in cyclical industries where earnings can be volatile.
- Price/Book (MRQ): 1.97x – Measures the market’s valuation of a company compared to its book value (assets minus liabilities) on its most recent quarterly balance sheet. A lower P/B ratio could mean the stock is undervalued. It’s often used for valuing financial institutions or capital-intensive businesses.
Total Valuation
Moving beyond simple market cap, total valuation metrics provide deeper insight. At N/A, the Enterprise Value (EV) presents a fuller picture of DIS’s aggregate value, accounting for both equity and net debt. Relating this EV to performance, the EV/Revenue multiple stands at 2.62x, and the EV/EBITDA multiple is 12.88x, gauging value against sales and core operational earnings respectively. These figures help evaluate DIS’s price relative to its business scale and operational results. Note the upcoming earnings (Est: 2025-05-07) and ex-dividend (2025-06-24) dates.
| Market Cap | $204.76 B |
| Enterprise Value | $241.80 B |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 2.62x |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 12.88x |
| Next Earnings Date | 2025-05-07 |
| Ex-Dividend Date | 2025-06-24 |
Profitability Growth
This section examines DIS’s ability to generate profit and expand its business. Profitability is reflected in margins: Gross (37.10%), Operating (15.12%), and Net (9.47%). Recent expansion is reflected in Year-over-Year Revenue Growth (7.00%) and Earnings Growth (N/A). Evaluating these margins and growth rates against historical performance 📜 and industry competitors 👥 provides crucial context. These are key indicators of financial performance and future potential.
| Profit Margin (TTM) | 9.47% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 15.12% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 37.10% |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 20.33% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $94.04 B |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 7.00% |
| Gross Profit (TTM) | $34.89 B |
| EBITDA (TTM) | $19.12 B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $8.91 B |
Analyst Insights
This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering DIS. The consensus recommendation is ‘Buy’. 29 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. The mean price target is $124.29, with individual targets ranging from $79.00 – $148.00. The average target ($124.29) suggests roughly 10.0% potential upside compared to the current price ($113.04). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.
Financial Health
Financial health metrics provide insights into DIS’s stability, efficiency, and ability to meet its obligations. We assess health via ROE (8.89%), D/E ratio (39.43x), liquidity measures (Current: 0.67x, Quick: 0.54x), and operating cash flow ($18.08 B). These figures indicate the company’s leverage, short-term solvency, and profitability relative to shareholder equity. Robust cash flow is generally a positive sign.
| Return on Equity (ROE TTM) | 8.89% |
| Return on Assets (ROA TTM) | 4.48% |
| Debt/Equity (MRQ) | 39.43x |
| Total Cash (MRQ) | $5.85 B |
| Total Debt (MRQ) | $42.89 B |
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 0.67x |
| Quick Ratio (MRQ) | 0.54x |
| Operating Cash Flow (TTM) | $18.08 B |
| Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $9.39 B |
Technical Analysis Summary
The following technical analysis summary for DIS, based on data up to 2025-05-30 00:00:00, outlines key indicators related to trend, momentum, and volatility. Detailed charts typically provide visual confirmation of these signals.
- Trend: Positive Trend Alignment, as price ($113.04) holds above both the key 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating positive momentum across timeframes.
- Momentum (RSI): ● 48.1 (Neutral), indicating balanced momentum.
Moving Average Details
Remember, technical analysis looks at past data to find potential patterns; it doesn’t predict the future with certainty. Always use it alongside fundamentals and risk control.
Short Selling Info
Short selling data provides a measure of negative sentiment or bets against DIS. Short selling activity is measured by Short % of Float (1.20%) and Days to Cover (1.80x). The current level is considered minimal. This implies low bearish sentiment and suggests limited short squeeze potential. The low Days to Cover (1.80x) indicates shorts could cover relatively quickly, potentially limiting squeeze duration.
| Shares Short | $22 M |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 1.80x |
| Short % of Float | 1.20% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | $23 M |
| Short Date | 2025-05-15 |
Stock Price Statistics
Here we detail DIS’s price behavior: market sensitivity, historical range, recent volatility, and volume. Key price behavior metrics include Beta (1.55x), the 52-week trading range ($80.10 – $118.63), recent short-term volatility (34.4%), and average trading liquidity (3m Avg Vol: N/A). Beta (1.55x) suggests the stock is more volatile than the overall market. Recent volatility (34.4%) is moderate, suggesting average price fluctuations.
| 52 Week High | $118.63 |
| 52 Week Low | $80.10 |
| 50 Day MA | $99.04 |
| 200 Day MA | $102.36 |
| Beta | 1.55x |
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 34.4% 📉 |
Conclusion Outlook
Short-Term Technical Snapshot
- ▲Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish
- ▲Price Trend vs MAs: bullish (above SMA50/200)
- ●Momentum (RSI): Neutral (48.1)
- 📊Support / Resistance (30d): ~$89.61 / ~$113.44
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook
- ▲1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~+8.5% avg. change to ≈$122.65
- ●Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: 8.89%, D/E: 39.43x)
- ●Valuation Snapshot: Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: 22.12x)
- ●Recent Growth (YoY): N/A (Rev: 7.00%, Earn: N/A)
- ▲Analyst Consensus: Buy (Target: $124.29)
Overall Assessment & Outlook
Considering both technical momentum and fundamental drivers, DIS exhibits Neutral-Bullish technical sentiment alongside moderate fundamental health. Valuation appears Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: 22.12x). Looking out one year, the forecast implies potential upside (+8.5%) with an average target near ≈$122.65. Careful consideration of these points relative to identified risks and their individual investment horizon.
Reminder: The following assessment is based on model data and public information, intended for informational use. It is not investment advice. Market conditions change rapidly. Always conduct thorough independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Factors
Investing in DIS involves various risks. This section outlines potential factors identified through data analysis and general market considerations. It is not exhaustive.
- ⚠️ Overall market fluctuations can impact the stock.
- ⚠️ Factors specific to the Entertainment industry or Communication Services sector can affect performance.
- ⚠️ Changes in macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, inflation) pose risks.
- ⚠️ Unforeseen company events or news can impact the price.