Metrics Summary
💰 Current Price
🎯 Price Targets & Forecasts
📉 -1.1%
📈 +54.4%
📉 +0.0%
📈 Trend & Momentum
⚖️ ● Mixed Trend
41.1 (Neutral) ⚖️
➡️ Neutral Trend (-0.06)
📊 Key Technical Levels
❌ $13.64
✅ $11.56
📏 $6.09 – $15.79
⚡ Volatility
33.3% 🌪️
N/Ax ⚖️
(Moderate)
16/30 (53%) 🟡
🏢 Ownership
44.65% 🏢
N/A 😰
(High Bearish Bets)
Right now, AAUC’s stock is trading at $13.04. The technical indicators are showing a mixed pattern because the price is holding relative to both the 50-day ($13.64) and 200-day ($11.56) moving averages. This suggests the stock has been gaining momentum recently. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 41.1 is Neutral—neither overbought nor oversold—while the MACD indicator shows a neutral trend, meaning there could be some minor pullbacks before the next upward move.
Over the past year, AAUC’s stock has traded between $6.09 and $15.79, which tells us two things: First, investor sentiment has been mixed. Second, the current price is trading mid-range, meaning big swings are less likely unless something major happens. Analysts expect modest growth ahead, with a 1-year target of $20.13 (+54.4%) and an average consensus target of N/A (+0.0%). Plus, with 44.65% institutional ownership and very low short interest (N/A), it seems most big investors are betting on the company’s long-term success rather than a decline.
Detailed Forecast Table
Here’s the breakdown of the month forecast for AAUC ($11.49 to $21.43 overall range). The table shows projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price, and the resulting model signal per period.
Over the forecast horizon (2025-08 to 2026-08), AAUC’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $11.49 and $21.43.
The projected price range remains relatively consistent (from $13.04 – $13.04 to $19.80 – $20.32), implying stable forecast uncertainty.
Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($13.04) | Model Signal |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-08 | $13.04 | $13.04 | $13.04 | ● 0.0% | Hold/Neutral |
2025-09 | $12.59 | $12.89 | $13.36 | ▼ -1.1% | Hold/Neutral |
2025-10 | $12.71 | $13.12 | $13.68 | ● 0.6% | Hold/Neutral |
2025-11 | $12.43 | $13.29 | $13.88 | ▲ 1.9% | Hold/Neutral |
2025-12 | $11.99 | $12.29 | $12.59 | ▼ -5.7% | Consider Short |
2026-01 | $11.49 | $11.89 | $12.35 | ▼ -8.8% | Consider Short |
2026-02 | $11.91 | $13.63 | $15.03 | ▲ 4.5% | Consider Buy |
2026-03 | $14.63 | $14.99 | $15.49 | ▲ 15.0% | Consider Buy |
2026-04 | $15.28 | $15.89 | $16.69 | ▲ 21.8% | Consider Buy |
2026-05 | $16.58 | $17.59 | $18.59 | ▲ 34.9% | Consider Buy |
2026-06 | $18.39 | $20.19 | $21.43 | ▲ 54.9% | Consider Buy |
2026-07 | $19.64 | $20.41 | $21.30 | ▲ 56.5% | Consider Buy |
2026-08 | $19.80 | $20.13 | $20.32 | ▲ 54.4% | Consider Buy |
Remember that these forecasts are generated by models, carry inherent uncertainty, and can change with new data or market shifts. Future prices are not guaranteed.
Company Profile
Company Description
A brief overview of the company’s business activities. Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, explores and produces mineral deposits in Africa. The company primarily explores for gold and silver ores. Its flagship project is the Sadiola gold project, an open pit mine located in the Republic of Mali. The company holds interest in the Bonikro and Hiré mines located in Côte d’Ivoire; the Agbaou mine located in Côte d’Ivoire; and the Kurmuk gold project located in Ethiopia. The company was formerly known as Allied Gold Corp Limited & Allied Merger Corporation and changed its name to Allied Gold Corporation in September 2023. Allied Gold Corporation is based in Toronto, Canada.
Valuation Metrics
Meanwhile, its Price/Sales ratio of 1.74x and Price/Book of 4.38x show that the company trades at multiples that warrant attention. These metrics provide insight into market positioning.
From an enterprise value perspective, The enterprise value to revenue ratio of 1.67x indicates reasonable revenue-based valuation, and its the EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.86x suggests reasonable earnings-based valuation. These valuation metrics provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current market positioning.
Price/Sales (TTM) | $1.74 |
Price/Book (MRQ) | $4.38 |
EV/Revenue (TTM) | 1.67x |
EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 5.86x |
Total Valuation
While Allied Gold Corporation has a market cap of 1.57 B, its enterprise value of 1.50 B is lower, reflecting a strong net cash position of approximately 70.00M. This financial strength provides a cushion and flexibility for future investments.
The valuation ratios tell an interesting story: at 1.67x revenue and 5.86x EBITDA, Allied Gold Corporation trades at a valuation that reflects its market position. This reflects the company’s strong market position and brand assets. But it also means the stock may have little room for error. Essentially, you’re paying for quality – but quality doesn’t come cheap.
Market Cap | 1.57 B |
Enterprise Value | 1.50 B |
EV/Revenue (TTM) | 1.67x |
EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 5.86x |
Profitability Growth
An analysis of the key metrics in AAUC’s margin performance shows the company has solid control over its costs and prices. The company is successful in controlling its production costs, as shown by the gross margin of 39.14%, and it also profits well from its core operations, reflected in the 27.88% operating margin. A 28.49% EBITDA margin indicates AAUC is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. All things considered, AAUC can hold onto around $-10.520 in net profit for every $1 of its revenue over the last twelve months. While the business’s revenue is increasing at an aggressive rate (97.90%), investors should monitor if this pace can be sustained without eroding profit margins.
AAUC’s 256.93 M in EBITDA and 352.92 M in gross profit indicate its raw earning power, while the -94.82 M in net income reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. The company appears to be balancing its pursuit of growth with the need to maintain profitability. Despite healthy gross margins, there is a significant difference between the company’s gross and net margins (39.14% vs. -10.52%). This is likely due to high operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes, which are key areas for investors to watch. In the future, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical. AAUC needs to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, as this will help sustain profitability, especially if revenue growth moderates.
Profit Margin (TTM) | -10.52% |
Operating Margin (TTM) | 27.88% |
Gross Margin (TTM) | 39.14% |
EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 28.49% |
Revenue (TTM) | 901.72 M |
Revenue Growth (YoY) | 97.90% |
Gross Profit (TTM) | 352.92 M |
EBITDA (TTM) | 256.93 M |
Net Income (TTM) | -94.82 M |
Analyst Insights
Here’s the consensus from Wall Street analysts on AAUC. The average recommendation is ‘None’. The number of contributing analysts is unspecified. Targets average N/A (within a range of N/A). This reflects overall analyst sentiment on the stock’s outlook.
Financial Health
AAUCs financial data clearly shows that strengths and weaknesses can appear together. The ROE and ROA of -19.91% and 10.89%, respectively, reflects that the company is not very efficient with its capital, and such numbers are usually found in established, stable firms. The 0.40x Debt/Equity ratio (with 163.29 M in debt and 232.25 M in cash) points to the fact that AAUC has taken on a manageable debt load to fuel its operations and growth. Even with its debt, the company’s ability to bring in 238.61 M in operating cash flow (TTM) proves that its core business can steadily produce cash, which is a significant strength.
The Current Ratio of 0.75x and Quick Ratio of 0.52x show potential liquidity issues that might cause trouble if the company’s cash cycle lengthens. Furthermore, AAUC’s 80.07 M in levered free cash flow suggests it can still generate significant cash for shareholders even after meeting its financial obligations.
Return on Equity (ROE TTM) | -19.91% |
Return on Assets (ROA TTM) | 10.89% |
Debt/Equity (MRQ) | 0.40x |
Total Cash (MRQ) | 232.25 M |
Total Debt (MRQ) | 163.29 M |
Current Ratio (MRQ) | 0.75x |
Quick Ratio (MRQ) | 0.52x |
Operating Cash Flow (TTM) | 238.61 M |
Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) | 80.07 M |
Historical Performance
In the recent trading period from July 18, 2025 to August 01, 2025, AAUC’s stock price achieved a total return of -3.55%. The price fluctuated between a high of $14.19 and a low of $12.61. Average daily trading volume was approximately 60,893 shares.
Recent Trading Data
Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-08-01 | $13.04 | $13.23 | $12.86 | $13.04 | 63,600 |
2025-07-31 | $12.68 | $12.92 | $12.66 | $12.89 | 18,100 |
2025-07-30 | $12.95 | $13.05 | $12.61 | $12.69 | 117,500 |
2025-07-29 | $12.96 | $13.15 | $12.85 | $13.11 | 15,800 |
2025-07-28 | $13.29 | $13.30 | $12.94 | $12.99 | 86,600 |
2025-07-27 | $13.38 | $13.40 | $13.06 | $13.34 | 27,200 |
2025-07-26 | $13.38 | $13.40 | $13.06 | $13.34 | 27,200 |
2025-07-25 | $13.38 | $13.40 | $13.06 | $13.34 | 27,200 |
2025-07-24 | $13.61 | $13.84 | $13.50 | $13.55 | 62,500 |
2025-07-23 | $14.15 | $14.15 | $13.66 | $13.78 | 68,400 |
2025-07-22 | $14.05 | $14.19 | $13.85 | $14.16 | 67,600 |
2025-07-21 | $13.67 | $14.12 | $13.67 | $13.91 | 117,800 |
2025-07-20 | $13.22 | $13.57 | $12.99 | $13.52 | 71,300 |
2025-07-19 | $13.22 | $13.57 | $12.99 | $13.52 | 71,300 |
2025-07-18 | $13.22 | $13.57 | $12.99 | $13.52 | 71,300 |
Technical Analysis Summary
CURRENT PRICE: $13.04 | TREND: BULLISH BUT SHOWS SIGNS OF SLOWING
The stock has faced downward pressure, losing -0.46% in the last 15 days. We need to analyze the technicals to see if this is a buying opportunity or a warning of further declines. Let’s break down the key levels.
Trend Strength – Still Bullish
AAUC is trading above its key moving averages, which confirms the uptrend remains intact. The 20-day SMA at $13.37 is acting as immediate dynamic support.
What This Means for Traders?
As long as AAUC holds above the 20-day SMA ($13.37), the bullish momentum could continue. However, a rapid rise can push the stock far from its averages, increasing the risk of a pullback.
Momentum Check – Is Momentum Fading?
The RSI at 41.1 is in a neutral zone, indicating balanced momentum. At the same time, the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting that the upward momentum is beginning to fade.
Trading Strategy:
This neutral RSI reading provides flexibility. Watch for a decisive MACD crossover or a break of a key support/resistance level for the next directional clue.
Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels
The stock is trading near the middle of its Bollinger Bands (SMA20: $13.37), with the lower band at $12.66 offering the next level of support.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $14.36 (Recent High) → A breakout could push AAUC higher.
- Support: $13.37 (20-day SMA) → If this breaks, expect a test of $12.66.
Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction
Trading volume is near its recent average, providing neutral confirmation of the current price action.
Support & Resistance – The Trading Plan
Trading Plan:
- ✅ If AAUC holds above $13.37 → Bullish trend continues, next target $14.36.
- ⚠️ If it breaks below $13.37 → Expect a dip toward $12.66.
- 🛑 A drop below $12.66 → Could trigger a deeper correction to the 200-day SMA ($11.56).
Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?
Bottom Line: The technicals suggest the rally may be running out of steam short-term. While the long-term trend remains bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next major move. Trade carefully and wait for confirmation at key levels.
Short Selling Info
There is currently 1 M worth of short interest in AAUC, and the short ratio (or days to cover) is 15.5x. This means that at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take several days for all short positions to be covered. This high level indicates it would take a long time for short sellers to buy back their shares, which could lead to extreme volatility or a powerful ‘short squeeze’ if the stock’s price starts to rise unexpectedly.
This level has remained relatively stable compared to last month’s value of 1 M, suggesting a shift in bearish sentiment.
Shares Short | 1 M |
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 15.50x |
Shares Short (Prior Month) | 1 M |
Short Date | 2025-07-15 |
Stock Price Statistics
When looking at the price range over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $15.79 and a low of $6.09. This wide gap tells us the stock has been through significant fluctuations, likely influenced by market sentiment or company-specific news. Currently, the 50-day moving average at $13.64 is above the 200-day moving average of $11.56. This ‘golden cross’ setup is often viewed as a bullish signal, indicating positive long-term momentum.
A 30-day annualized volatility of 33.3% indicates the stock experiences moderate price swings. For investors, this means potential for gains, but also higher downside risk. These indicators matter when deciding position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that balances stability with growth exposure.
52 Week High | $15.79 |
52 Week Low | $6.09 |
50 Day MA | $13.84 |
200 Day MA | $10.31 |
Volatility (30d Ann.) | 33.3% 📉 |
Risk Factors
Potential investors in AAUC should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.
- ⚠️ Overall market fluctuations can impact the stock.
- ⚠️ Factors specific to the Gold industry or Basic Materials sector can affect performance.
- ⚠️ Changes in macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, inflation) pose risks.
- ⚠️ Unforeseen company events or news can impact the price.