ACHR Bulls vs. Bears: Who Will Win in 2025?

The detailed monthy forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for ACHR’s price evolution ($11.10 to $26.17). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-07 to 2026-07), ACHR’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $11.10 and $26.17.

The projected price range remains relatively consistent (from $11.10 – $11.10 to $19.46 – $26.17), implying stable forecast uncertainty.

ACHR demonstrates, with its Trailing P/E at N/A and Forward P/E at -10.22x, presents unusual P/E dynamics that require careful interpretation.

From an enterprise value perspective, and its the EV/EBITDA multiple of -9.28x suggests reasonable earnings-based valuation. These valuation metrics provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current market positioning.

While Archer Aviation Inc. has a market cap of 5.55 B, its enterprise value of 4.60 B is lower, reflecting a strong net cash position of approximately 950.00M. This financial strength provides a cushion and flexibility for future investments.

The upcoming 2025-08-11 earnings report will be crucial in showing whether Archer Aviation Inc.’s businesses can grow into this valuation. Essentially, you’re paying for quality – but quality doesn’t come cheap.

An analysis of the key metrics in ACHR’s margin performance suggests the company faces significant margin pressure. The company is successful in controlling its production costs, as shown by the gross margin of 0.00%, and it also profits well from its core operations, reflected in the 0.00% operating margin. A 0.00% EBITDA margin indicates ACHR is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. All things considered, ACHR can hold onto around $0.000 in net profit for every $1 of its revenue over the last twelve months.

ACHR’s -498.00 M in EBITDA and N/A in gross profit indicate its raw earning power, while the -513.70 M in net income reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. In the future, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical. ACHR needs to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, as this will help sustain profitability, especially if revenue growth moderates.

Here’s the consensus from Wall Street analysts on ACHR. The average recommendation is ‘None’. 9 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. Targets average $11.94 (within a range of $4.50 – $18.00). Based on the mean target ($11.94), this implies a potential upside of ~6.5% from the current price ($11.21). This reflects overall analyst sentiment on the stock’s outlook.

ACHR’s financial data reveals several areas of concern that warrant caution. The ROE and ROA of -73.89% and -37.05%, respectively, reflects that the company is not very efficient with its capital, and such numbers are usually found in established, stable firms. The 7.74x Debt/Equity ratio (with 78.30 M in debt and 1.03 B in cash) points to the fact that ACHR has taken on a very high level of debt to fuel its operations and growth. A major concern is the negative operating cash flow of -376.70 M (TTM), indicating the core business is currently using more cash than it generates.

The Current Ratio of 15.80x and Quick Ratio of 15.29x show a solid liquidity position, able to cover its short-term liabilities. This combination of high debt and negative operating cash flow is a significant red flag. It indicates the company is burning through cash while servicing a large debt load, a high-risk situation that could lead to financial distress if not reversed quickly.

Analyzing the last 15 trading days from July 11, 2025 to July 25, 2025, ACHR saw its stock post a return of +6.66%. The recent trading range was between $10.13 and $13.73, with an average volume of 48,095,873 shares traded daily.

There is currently 88 M worth of short interest in ACHR, and the short ratio (or days to cover) is 2.2x. This means that at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take around 2 days for all short positions to be covered. This low level suggests that short sellers do not currently have significant control over the stock’s price, and the risk of a prolonged ‘short squeeze’ is relatively low.

With 19.71% of the public float sold short, a high percentage of the float is being shorted, signaling significant bearish conviction from a portion of the market. This level has increased recently from 66 M, suggesting a shift in bearish sentiment. With notable short interest, investors should be aware of potential volatility spikes, which could be triggered by news events that force short sellers to cover their positions.

When looking at the price range over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $13.92 and a low of $2.82. This wide gap tells us the stock has been through significant fluctuations, likely influenced by market sentiment or company-specific news. Currently, the 50-day moving average at $10.78 is above the 200-day moving average of $9.35. This ‘golden cross’ setup is often viewed as a bullish signal, indicating positive long-term momentum.

The stock carries a beta of 3.10x, which means it tends to move more sharply than the broader market—about 210% more volatile. Combined with a high 30-day annualized volatility of 70.3%, it’s clear this stock sees frequent price swings. For investors, this means potential for gains, but also higher downside risk. These indicators matter when deciding position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that balances stability with growth exposure.

Investing in ACHR involves various risks. This section outlines potential factors identified through data analysis and general market considerations. It is not exhaustive.